MoDuel C & Under + Adult (21+) Open Epee

Div II Mixed Épée

Sunday, August 31, 2025 at 2:00 PM

Modern Duelists Fencing Academy - Elkton, MD, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SEIKEL Spencer 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 49%
2 ROBITZSKI David R. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 25%
3 MCCABE Kian 100% 99% 88% 55% 16% 1%
3 PFEIL Shawn 100% 100% 100% 96% 74% 23%
5 GAMBINO Robert A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 81%
6 HUTZ Michael B. 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 15%
7 DOLBOW Trevor 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 23% 3%
8 KARASICK Andrew 100% 100% 95% 71% 29% 2%
9 MURPHY Megan 100% 99% 88% 59% 25% 6% 1%
10 SIMS Martin L. 100% 98% 73% 32% 7% 1% -
11 MILLIGAN Bruce C. 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 32%
12 CHAN Ian 100% 87% 47% 12% 1% -
13 COLANDENE Matthew 100% 100% 99% 89% 61% 25% 4%
14 KORMANN Joseph 100% 97% 78% 41% 11% 1%
15 LORENZ Nathan 100% 90% 59% 23% 4% -
16 TAN Theodore 100% 89% 57% 21% 3% -
17 SOKALSKI Edwin 100% 93% 65% 28% 6% -
18 MAGUIRE Timothy 100% 98% 79% 38% 8% -
19 TRAN Alex 100% 84% 46% 14% 2% -
20 DIPERSIO Vincent 100% 97% 76% 36% 7% -
21 WOHNER Kenneth S. 100% 96% 74% 34% 5% -
22 RENZ Sarah 100% 57% 17% 3% - - -
23 CHI Evelyn 100% 59% 12% 1% - -
24 KLOSS Robert 100% 68% 24% 4% - -
25 CHI Andrew 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 8% 1%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.