Elite RYC/RJCC

Y-12 Men's Saber

Saturday, September 6, 2025 at 8:00 AM

John T. Rhodes Myrtle Beach Sports Center - Myrtle Beach, SC, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 KELLY Collin 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 23%
2 RINALDI Benigno 100% 100% 98% 80% 35%
3 HUANG Joseph 100% 93% 66% 29% 6% -
3 GUO Joe 100% 87% 41% 8% 1%
5 CARD Ewan 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 7%
6 AUSLANDER Rocco 100% 92% 64% 28% 6% 1%
7 RESTELLI Arri 100% 100% 93% 63% 19%
8 TOPALOV Michael 100% 98% 85% 50% 13% 1%
9 BECKER Grayson 100% 100% 95% 77% 41% 10%
10 GOEL Edrian 100% 88% 55% 21% 4% -
11 CHEN Remsen 100% 68% 25% 4% - -
12 ZHAO Evan 100% 50% 10% 1% -
13 YEAZEL Reid 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 19%
14 GOLDSTEIN Malcolm 100% 98% 86% 56% 21% 3%
15 CROCKETT Khalil 100% 100% 99% 82% 38% 6%
16 ROSTHOLDER Ethan 100% 97% 77% 35% 6%
17 SAFAI Bardia 100% 85% 48% 15% 2% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.