DIABLO Trophy @ Bay Area Fencing Club

Div II Mixed Foil

Sunday, September 7, 2025 at 9:00 AM

BAY AREA FENCING CLUB - Pleasanton, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 SAFTA Aidan 100% 100% 99% 86% 45% 6%
2 BURLINGAME Owen 100% 96% 74% 36% 8% 1%
3 JENA Aanvi 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 19%
3 LI Austin 100% 100% 95% 71% 27%
5 MASOOD Rohail 100% 100% 83% 40% 7%
6 LEE Tristan 100% 99% 79% 36% 6%
8 OTAEGI Elorri 100% 98% 84% 50% 16% 2%
9 DVOIRIS Maya 100% 92% 62% 23% 3%
10 MATVEYEV Julia 100% 94% 68% 30% 7% 1%
11 WANG Ellen 100% 89% 55% 19% 3% -
11 LU Zihan 100% 99% 91% 60% 18% 1%
13 PALTA Sanaya 100% 99% 93% 68% 28% 5%
14 LEE Jayden 100% 96% 72% 28% 4% -
15 TSAI Spencer 100% 100% 98% 79% 39% 8%
16 NGUYEN Nolan 100% 78% 33% 7% 1% -
17 LINTNER-CALVO Julien 100% 99% 90% 54% 15% 1%
18 MERRIGAN Annabelle 100% 71% 7% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.