DIABLO Trophy @ Bay Area Fencing Club

Y-12 Mixed Foil

Sunday, September 7, 2025 at 12:15 PM

BAY AREA FENCING CLUB - Pleasanton, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 PAWAR Sanvi 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 19%
2 LIN Zhengxuan 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 10%
3 SPICER-YOUAKIM Benjamin 100% 99% 88% 59% 25% 6% -
5 SINGH Reyaansh 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 42% 3%
6 ZHANG Katie Qingyun 100% 100% 96% 76% 37% 8%
7 YANG Jaron 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 19%
8 ZHU Claire 100% 100% 96% 79% 42% 9%
9 KHANAL Sarah 100% 100% 100% 94% 69% 26%
10 DONG Nancy 100% 100% 98% 84% 49% 13%
11 ZENG Cayden 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 38% 8%
12 GUO Jianing 100% 96% 77% 40% 11% 1%
13 TUNG Alison 100% 99% 90% 56% 17% 2%
14 LAI Olivia 100% 100% 98% 85% 50% 13%
15 STOCK Nina 100% 61% 18% 3% - -
16 JACOBE Jakyn 100% 87% 50% 16% 2% -
17 NILANGEKAR Nikita 100% 91% 58% 20% 3% -
18 KIM Owen 100% 100% 99% 88% 56% 20% 3%
19 SOUSA Lauren 100% 79% 36% 8% 1% -
20 GUO Christine 100% 99% 92% 64% 25% 4%
21 STOCK Ian 100% 66% 23% 4% - - -
22 MISSON Arya 100% 74% 32% 7% 1% -
23 SUN Zoey 100% 87% 42% 11% 1% - -
24 MAK Avery 100% 100% 99% 93% 66% 26% 4%
25 TANG Ming-Hao (Audrey) 100% 76% 33% 7% 1% -
26 WU Kunyi 100% 95% 66% 25% 4% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.