The Cascade Clash SYC

Y-14 Women's Saber

Friday, September 12, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Northwest Fencing Center - Tigard, OR, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 FERRIS Madeline 1% 6% 23% 37% 26% 7%
2 YUEN Nicole - - - 4% 30% 65%
3 HSIEH Lucia - - 3% 16% 43% 38%
3 YU Stella - 1% 6% 25% 43% 25%
5 DUFF Caitlin - 4% 20% 38% 30% 8%
6 YU Skylar - - 1% 5% 22% 43% 30%
7 CORD Sophia - 5% 25% 43% 23% 3%
8 QIU Abigail 3% 23% 43% 26% 5% -
9 WANG Tina - - 2% 14% 34% 37% 13%
10 LIQUARD Lea 12% 36% 34% 15% 3% -
11 LAUREYNS Ainsley - 2% 12% 33% 39% 14%
12 YANG Caroline - 3% 16% 34% 34% 13%
13 TABANCAY Ava 8% 28% 37% 22% 5% -
14 DUDNICK Caitlin 4% 30% 42% 20% 4% -
15 KAZA Aditi 7% 29% 38% 21% 5% 1% -
16 MORINAGA Mirai 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 7%
17 BACKES Anastasia 14% 35% 34% 15% 3% -
18 SARATH Sana - 2% 11% 30% 36% 18% 3%
19 DOLEV Rony - 2% 14% 40% 38% 7%
20 BRAN ROSADO Victoria 43% 42% 13% 2% - -
21 OH Chloe 6% 26% 37% 24% 6% 1%
22 SHI Maxine 1% 8% 26% 37% 23% 5%
22 CRISWELL Ev - 2% 16% 39% 33% 10%
24 SANTIAGO Hannah - 5% 20% 36% 28% 9% 1%
25 WONG Lucia 15% 44% 32% 8% 1% -
26 DAVIS Layla 25% 42% 25% 7% 1% - -
27 KAZA Ananya 2% 19% 38% 30% 10% 1%
29 TAN Angela 10% 33% 36% 17% 3% - -
30 SAYONE Liliana 61% 32% 6% - - -
31 CHACKO Anne 29% 42% 23% 6% 1% -
32 CHIU Philippa 8% 29% 37% 21% 5% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.