The Cascade Clash SYC

Y-14 Women's Saber

Friday, September 12, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Northwest Fencing Center - Tigard, OR, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 FERRIS Madeline 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 7%
2 YUEN Nicole 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 65%
3 HSIEH Lucia 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 38%
3 YU Stella 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 25%
5 DUFF Caitlin 100% 100% 96% 76% 38% 8%
6 YU Skylar 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 73% 30%
7 CORD Sophia 100% 100% 94% 69% 26% 3%
8 QIU Abigail 100% 97% 74% 31% 5% -
9 WANG Tina 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 49% 13%
10 LIQUARD Lea 100% 88% 53% 18% 3% -
11 LAUREYNS Ainsley 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 14%
12 YANG Caroline 100% 100% 97% 81% 47% 13%
13 TABANCAY Ava 100% 92% 65% 27% 5% -
14 DUDNICK Caitlin 100% 96% 65% 24% 4% -
15 KAZA Aditi 100% 93% 64% 26% 6% 1% -
16 MORINAGA Mirai 100% 99% 93% 69% 33% 7%
17 BACKES Anastasia 100% 86% 51% 17% 3% -
18 SARATH Sana 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 21% 3%
19 DOLEV Rony 100% 100% 98% 84% 45% 7%
20 BRAN ROSADO Victoria 100% 57% 15% 2% - -
21 OH Chloe 100% 94% 68% 31% 7% 1%
22 SHI Maxine 100% 99% 91% 65% 28% 5%
22 CRISWELL Ev 100% 100% 98% 82% 43% 10%
24 SANTIAGO Hannah 100% 100% 94% 74% 38% 10% 1%
25 WONG Lucia 100% 85% 41% 9% 1% -
26 DAVIS Layla 100% 75% 33% 8% 1% - -
27 KAZA Ananya 100% 98% 79% 41% 11% 1%
29 TAN Angela 100% 90% 57% 20% 4% - -
30 SAYONE Liliana 100% 39% 7% 1% - -
31 CHACKO Anne 100% 71% 29% 7% 1% -
32 CHIU Philippa 100% 92% 63% 26% 5% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.