The Cascade Clash SYC

Y-12 Men's Saber

Friday, September 12, 2025 at 11:30 AM

Northwest Fencing Center - Tigard, OR, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 YUEN Caleb 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 35%
2 WANG David 100% 99% 93% 67% 24%
3 WANG Henrik 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 50% 13%
3 LEE Kyle Sung Ju 100% 100% 99% 88% 56% 16%
5 CHUNG Evan 100% 99% 87% 53% 15%
6 ERPELDING Ryan 100% 72% 29% 7% 1% - -
7 DUFF Michael 100% 100% 95% 77% 42% 12% 1%
8 WANG James 100% 100% 96% 80% 49% 18% 3%
9 LAI Mars 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 31%
10 YANG Aegon 100% 100% 96% 76% 34% 6%
11 MOROAICA Seiku 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 13%
12 LVOVSKIY Roman 100% 100% 95% 78% 46% 17% 3%
13 TABANCAY Cole 100% 100% 100% 95% 70% 25%
14 CAO Chong 100% 93% 61% 22% 3%
15 LUO Gavin 100% 100% 100% 94% 69% 25%
16 CHOI Brayden Yui Chit 100% 99% 91% 67% 31% 7% 1%
17 CHEN Donovan 100% 96% 69% 26% 5% -
18 WU August 100% 99% 86% 49% 14% 2%
19 HADFIELD Gavin 100% 56% 14% 2% - -
20 ZHEN Felix 100% 61% 19% 3% -
21 CHIDAMBARAM Nivedh 100% 94% 71% 34% 9% 1% -
22 MAGNAYE Jaezyn 100% 85% 49% 16% 3% - -
24 HSIEH Maxwell 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 13% 2%
25 CONCANNON Jackson 100% 86% 45% 12% 2% -
26 MOODY-FUENTES Nelson 100% 99% 91% 61% 22% 3%
28 PILYAVSKY Daniel 100% 89% 49% 13% 1% -
29 XIE Ryan 100% 99% 84% 47% 16% 3% -
30 XIA Henson 100% 95% 71% 30% 5%
31 LUO Nathan 100% 51% 11% 1% - -
32 CHEN Brandon 100% 86% 50% 17% 3% - -
33 CAI Lucas 100% 99% 92% 67% 32% 7% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.