Lucas Cai

2014

Win/Loss Statistics

2025-2026 2024-2025 2023-2024 2022-2023 Before 2022 All Time
Victories 10 - - - - 10
Losses 47 - - - - 47
Win Ratio 17.5% - - - - 17.5%
Pool Victories 6 - - - - 6
Pool Losses 39 - - - - 39
Pool Win Ratio 13.3% - - - - 13.3%
DE Victories 4 - - - - 4
DE Losses 8 - - - - 8
DE Win Ratio 33.3% - - - - 33.3%

Note: Seasons start on August 1st and end on July 31st.

Scores

2025-2026 2024-2025 2023-2024 2022-2023 Before 2022 All Time
Easy wins† 4 - - - - 4
Easy wins as % of wins 40.0% - - - - 40.0%
Close wins‡ 3 - - - - 3
Close wins as % of all wins 30.0% - - - - 30.0%
Close losses‡ 3 - - - - 3
Close losses as % of all losses 6.4% - - - - 6.4%
Big losses† 27 - - - - 27
Big losses as % of all losses 57.4% - - - - 57.4%

† Easy victories or big losses are those with the score difference of 4 or more touches in a pool, 7 or more touches in direct elimination, and 5 or more in veteran and youth direct elimination.
‡ Close bouts are those with the score difference of 1 or fewer touches in a pool, 3 or fewer touches in direct elimination, or 2 or fewer touches in veteran or youth direct elimination.

Events

2025-2026 2024-2025 2023-2024 2022-2023 Before 2022 All Time
Events 8 - - - - 8
Tournaments 6 - - - - 6

Competition History

Rain City Super Youth Circuit (SYC)

Y-14 Men's Saber (C2, Y14), April 20, 2026
Place 47 of 51, Seed 26, Not ranked, Rating U
Bout Score Opponent Seed Rank Rating Place Club Opponent
Strength		 Strength Change Chance of
Victory
Pool D 2:5 LUO Winston 50 U 40 Oregon Fencing Alliance 966 285 9.0 13%
Pool D 1:5 RAMBHIA Smit 44 U 29 Premier Fencing Academy 1224 276 4.6 6%
Pool D 1:5 HARFORD Benjamin 23 E26 25 Salle Auriol Seattle 1003 271 7.8 12%
Pool D 1:5 YUEN Caleb 7 89 E25 7 LA Fencing Academy of Pomona 1506 263 1.8 2%
Pool D 2:5 HE Zhikai (kyle) 10 106 E25 3 1588 261 1.4 2%
T64 D 6:15 PARK Jayden 46 U 21 Southern California Fencing Academy (SOCALFA) 1607 1312 56.2 33%

Rain City Super Youth Circuit (SYC)

Y-12 Men's Saber (U, Y12), April 19, 2026
Place 47 of 49, Seed 30, Not ranked, Rating U
Bout Score Opponent Seed Rank Rating Place Club Opponent
Strength		 Strength Change Chance of
Victory
Pool D 3:5 PETTY Eliot 40 U 24 Salle Auriol Seattle 961 331 11.0 15%
Pool D 3:5 LEE Hubert Junhu 38 U 30 Southern California Fencing Academy (SOCALFA) 1050 320 8.6 12%
Pool D 0:5 YUEN Caleb 2 11 E25 3 LA Fencing Academy of Pomona 1494 312 2.4 3%
Pool D 0:5 ZHEN Felix 27 U 28 Oregon Fencing Alliance 697 309 16.8 26%
Pool D 0:5 CHOI Brayden Yui Chit 13 97 U 16 1044 292 7.8 11%
Pool D 1:5 SHARPE Harrison Missing ID 16 132 U 19 PDX Fencing
T64 D 6:15 SHARPE Harrison Missing ID 16 132 U 19 PDX Fencing

Rain City Spring RJCC+RYC

Y-12 Men's Saber (U, Y12), February 27, 2026
Place 16 of 19, Seed 10, Not ranked, Rating U
Bout Score Opponent Seed Rank Rating Place Club Opponent
Strength		 Strength Change Chance of
Victory
Pool D 1:5 PETTY Eliot 19 U 10 Salle Auriol Seattle 973 373 12.7 17%
Pool D 2:5 CHOI Brayden Yui Chit 5 89 U 7 1029 360 10.7 14%
Pool D 1:5 LIU Nico 2 47 U 1 1167 349 7.4 9%
Pool D 0:5 LEWIS Isaac 17 U 12 Washington Fencing Academy 1003 342 10.7 16%
Pool D 3:5 SHARPE Harrison Missing ID 7 U 6 PDX Fencing
T16 D 8:15 LIU Nico 2 47 U 1 1685 1371 59.4 32%

Salle Auriol Seattle RYC

Y-12 Men's Saber (None, Y12), January 31, 2026
Place 14 of 21, Seed 16, Not ranked, Rating U
Bout Score Opponent Seed Rank Rating Place Club Opponent
Strength		 Strength Change Chance of
Victory
Pool D 3:5 MAGNAYE Jaezyn 3 U 8 PDX Fencing 771 327 20.8 24%
Pool D 2:5 WANG Brendan 15 U 6 Salle Auriol Seattle 659 306 23.3 29%
Pool V 5:2 CHEN Alan 20 U 13 2591 283 82.0 1%
Pool V 5:3 LUO Nathan 4 U 19 Oregon Fencing Alliance 374 365 37.5 49%
Pool D 3:5 XIA Henson 9 U 3 Salle Auriol Seattle 1044 403 12.3 15%
Pool D 2:5 MOODY-FUENTES Nelson 12 U 9 Salle Auriol Seattle 835 390 17.6 24%
T32 V 15:10 LUO Nathan 4 U 19 Oregon Fencing Alliance 1049 1415 67.4 70%
T16 D 7:15 HE Richard 14 U 3 1402 1482 110.9 55%

Portland Winter RYC

Y-14 Men's Saber (U, Y14), December 14, 2025
Place 28 of 30, Seed 17, Not ranked, Rating U
Bout Score Opponent Seed Rank Rating Place Club Opponent
Strength		 Strength Change Chance of
Victory
Pool D 0:5 STAMPER Wyatt 4 197 U 7 Oregon Fencing Alliance 844 452 27.1 27%
Pool D 3:5 WILCOX Kellen 22 U 20 Salle Auriol Seattle 522 425 40.6 44%
Pool D 3:5 LIN Escher 27 U 24 PDX Fencing 336 384 46.0 53%
Pool D 2:5 FISH Wade 14 U 9 PDX Fencing 1111 338 10.9 11%
Pool D 0:5 SHARPE Harrison Missing ID 7 U 13 PDX Fencing
T32 D 2:15 LIEBISCH Milo 1 110 E25 5 PDX Fencing 1396 1574 159.1 60%

Portland Winter RYC

Y-12 Men's Saber (U, Y12), December 13, 2025
Place 13 of 21, Seed 6, Not ranked, Rating U
Bout Score Opponent Seed Rank Rating Place Club Opponent
Strength		 Strength Change Chance of
Victory
Pool V 5:1 MOODY-FUENTES Nelson 20 U 15 Salle Auriol Seattle 859 449 110.5 26%
Pool D 1:5 WOLLOW Bennett 7 U 1 Oregon Fencing Alliance 965 559 35.4 26%
Pool V 5:0 LEE Ryker 19 U 19 Oregon Fencing Alliance 621 524 56.9 45%
Pool D 1:5 ERPELDING Ryan 1 34 U 3 PDX Fencing 952 581 33.4 28%
Pool D 3:5 NGUYEN Asher 13 U 17 PDX Fencing 295 547 71.7 65%
Pool D 3:5 LUO Winston 18 U 7 Oregon Fencing Alliance 971 475 23.6 22%
T32 V 15:13 LUO Nathan 2 U 20 Oregon Fencing Alliance 1138 1623 91.4 74%
T16 D 6:15 ERPELDING Ryan 1 34 U 3 PDX Fencing 1793 1715 140.8 46%

Rain City Fall RYC

Y-12 Men's Saber (U, Y12), November 8, 2025
Place 8 of 21, Seed 2, Not ranked, Rating U
Bout Score Opponent Seed Rank Rating Place Club Opponent
Strength		 Strength Change Chance of
Victory
Pool D 4:5 LUO Nathan 11 U 13 Oregon Fencing Alliance 201 486 170.4 66%
Pool D 3:5 NGUYEN Asher 14 U 14 PDX Fencing 165 315 126.0 59%
Pool V 5:4 PETTY Eliot 5 U 10 Salle Auriol Seattle 1114 189 210.7 9%
Pool V 5:0 BATTEN Miles 19 U 21 Salle Auriol Seattle 570 400 92.2 40%
Pool D 0:5 SHARPE Harrison Missing ID 8 U 5 PDX Fencing
Pool D 4:5 WANG William 21 U 12 Washington Fencing Academy 874 492 43.5 28%
T32 V 15:6 LIU Nicholas 10 U 19 2500 1316 425.3 16%
T16 V 15:12 ZHEN Felix 6 U 9 Oregon Fencing Alliance 1262 1741 151.0 73%
T8 D 3:15 XIA Henson 3 U 3 Salle Auriol Seattle 1687 1892 269.0 61%

The Cascade Clash SYC

Y-12 Men's Saber (U, Y12), September 12, 2025
Place 33 of 33, Seed 15, Not ranked, Rating U
Bout Score Opponent Seed Rank Rating Place Club Opponent
Strength		 Strength Change Chance of
Victory
Pool D 0:5 DUFF Michael 3 21 U 7 Globus Fencing Academy 1335 2500 1109.6 87%
Pool D 1:5 LVOVSKIY Roman 8 37 U 12 Spartak 1308 1390 335.5 54%
Pool D 2:5 WANG James 13 68 U 8 LA Fencing Academy of Pomona 1262 1055 183.5 39%
Pool D 1:5 ERPELDING Ryan 23 U 6 PDX Fencing 723 871 220.0 58%
Pool D 4:5 XIE Ryan 18 U 29 Oregon Fencing Alliance 630 651 136.4 51%
Pool D 0:5 MOROAICA Seiku 19 U 11 Southern California Fencing Academy (SOCALFA) 1447 515 29.5 9%
T64 D 8:15 CHEN Brandon 32 U 32 Washington Fencing Academy 1142 2500 1184.1 90%