The Cascade Clash SYC

Y-14 Women's Foil

Friday, September 12, 2025 at 2:00 PM

Northwest Fencing Center - Tigard, OR, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HOROWITZ Shuli - - - 2% 12% 40% 46%
2 KENSICKI Phoebe - - - 4% 19% 42% 34%
3 LIU Ashley - - - - 4% 28% 68%
3 WATSON Evelyn - - - 4% 17% 40% 39%
5 ZHOU Joi - - - 2% 14% 43% 41%
6 ESAKI Kei - - - 2% 12% 38% 48%
7 SCHULTZ Sumi - 1% 9% 26% 36% 23% 4%
8 SOE Hayleigh - - 1% 6% 27% 43% 23%
9 WANG Doreen - - 2% 13% 36% 37% 12%
10 PARK Lauren - - - 2% 15% 47% 36%
11 THOTA Akira - 4% 16% 31% 31% 15% 2%
12 LIGERET Stella - - 3% 17% 38% 34% 8%
13 HO Peyton - 1% 6% 21% 37% 29% 8%
14 HAN Gian - - 1% 7% 27% 46% 19%
15 HAN Mia - - - 2% 16% 49% 32%
16 CHENG Audrey - 1% 5% 18% 36% 32% 9%
17 HSU Rachel - - 3% 15% 35% 35% 12%
18 JIANG Ziqing - 3% 17% 38% 33% 9% 1%
19 IRELAND Moira 1% 6% 23% 37% 25% 6% -
20 WU Elynna - - 2% 12% 34% 38% 14%
20 DESAI Zoya 1% 10% 26% 33% 22% 7% 1%
22 NAKAZATO Olivia 9% 30% 36% 20% 5% 1% -
23 LIU Anya - 6% 25% 39% 24% 5% -
24 CHUNG Katie 3% 15% 31% 31% 16% 4% -
25 LAM Dorris Yandor 1% 12% 34% 36% 14% 2% -
26 LIN Avery 1% 5% 20% 35% 28% 10% 1%
27 JOESUF Aurielle 4% 21% 36% 27% 10% 2% -
28 YANG Ava - 4% 17% 34% 31% 12% 2%
29 DONG Nancy 28% 43% 23% 5% 1% - -
30 SMIRNOV Victoria 1% 11% 29% 34% 19% 5% -
31 ZHANG Queeny - 1% 7% 25% 39% 24% 4%
32 YUEN Kaitlyn 15% 39% 32% 11% 2% - -
33 KIM Ellen - 2% 13% 33% 36% 15% 1%
34 KHANAL Sarah 1% 12% 34% 36% 15% 2% -
35 CHEN Elysia 6% 25% 36% 24% 7% 1% -
36 ZHANG Hannah - 3% 18% 37% 32% 10% 1%
37 CHANG Lydia - - 1% 8% 27% 42% 23%
38 LI Sophia - 1% 5% 21% 40% 30% 4%
39 LI Audrey - 4% 17% 33% 31% 13% 1%
40 ZHANG Katie Qingyun 5% 30% 40% 21% 4% - -
41 CHEUNG Carabelle 10% 32% 36% 18% 4% - -
42 JOESUF Thea 1% 12% 34% 35% 15% 2% -
43 DEJOY Leilah 10% 30% 35% 19% 5% 1% -
44 PAN Samantha 2% 13% 33% 35% 15% 3% -
45 NICOLETTI Thea 2% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3% -
46 KIM Ines 2% 14% 36% 34% 12% 2% -
47 WU Allison 1% 7% 22% 34% 26% 9% 1%
48 KIM Olivia 20% 39% 29% 10% 2% - -
49 AI Mirabelle 2% 16% 35% 32% 12% 2% -
50 MORENO Josefina 1% 13% 36% 35% 13% 2% -
51 CHOI Lydia 3% 17% 34% 31% 13% 2% -
51 ARUNKISHORE Dakshina 3% 17% 32% 30% 14% 3% -
53 ARCE BASURCO Juliana 25% 45% 25% 5% - - -
54 YOUN Davina 11% 32% 35% 17% 4% - -
54 JIANG Ziqi 13% 35% 35% 15% 3% - -
56 YANG Ana 16% 43% 31% 9% 1% - -
57 ARRIBE Mila 26% 45% 23% 5% - - -
58 ZHU Claire 10% 31% 36% 19% 5% 1% -
59 LIU Madeleine 40% 43% 15% 2% - - -
60 TANG Clementine 32% 41% 21% 5% 1% - -
61 EBY Sophia 17% 39% 32% 11% 2% - -
61 ZHANG Annabelle 19% 37% 29% 12% 2% - -
63 LEE Clara 66% 29% 4% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.