The Cascade Clash SYC

Y-14 Women's Foil

Friday, September 12, 2025 at 2:00 PM

Northwest Fencing Center - Tigard, OR, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HOROWITZ Shuli 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 46%
2 KENSICKI Phoebe 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 34%
3 LIU Ashley 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 68%
3 WATSON Evelyn 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 39%
5 ZHOU Joi 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 41%
6 ESAKI Kei 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 48%
7 SCHULTZ Sumi 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 27% 4%
8 SOE Hayleigh 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 66% 23%
9 WANG Doreen 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 49% 12%
10 PARK Lauren 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 36%
11 THOTA Akira 100% 100% 96% 80% 49% 17% 2%
12 LIGERET Stella 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 42% 8%
13 HO Peyton 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 36% 8%
14 HAN Gian 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 65% 19%
15 HAN Mia 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 32%
16 CHENG Audrey 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 40% 9%
17 HSU Rachel 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 46% 12%
18 JIANG Ziqing 100% 100% 97% 80% 43% 9% 1%
19 IRELAND Moira 100% 99% 93% 69% 32% 7% -
20 WU Elynna 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 14%
20 DESAI Zoya 100% 99% 89% 64% 30% 8% 1%
22 NAKAZATO Olivia 100% 91% 61% 25% 6% 1% -
23 LIU Anya 100% 100% 94% 69% 30% 6% -
24 CHUNG Katie 100% 97% 83% 52% 21% 4% -
25 LAM Dorris Yandor 100% 99% 86% 52% 17% 3% -
26 LIN Avery 100% 99% 94% 75% 40% 12% 1%
27 JOESUF Aurielle 100% 96% 74% 39% 12% 2% -
28 YANG Ava 100% 100% 96% 78% 45% 14% 2%
29 DONG Nancy 100% 72% 29% 6% 1% - -
30 SMIRNOV Victoria 100% 99% 87% 58% 24% 5% -
31 ZHANG Queeny 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 28% 4%
32 YUEN Kaitlyn 100% 85% 45% 13% 2% - -
33 KIM Ellen 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 16% 1%
34 KHANAL Sarah 100% 99% 88% 54% 17% 2% -
35 CHEN Elysia 100% 94% 68% 32% 8% 1% -
36 ZHANG Hannah 100% 100% 97% 79% 42% 11% 1%
37 CHANG Lydia 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 23%
38 LI Sophia 100% 100% 99% 95% 74% 34% 4%
39 LI Audrey 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 14% 1%
40 ZHANG Katie Qingyun 100% 95% 65% 25% 4% - -
41 CHEUNG Carabelle 100% 90% 59% 22% 4% - -
42 JOESUF Thea 100% 99% 87% 53% 17% 2% -
43 DEJOY Leilah 100% 90% 60% 25% 5% 1% -
44 PAN Samantha 100% 98% 85% 53% 18% 3% -
45 NICOLETTI Thea 100% 98% 83% 50% 19% 3% -
46 KIM Ines 100% 98% 84% 48% 14% 2% -
47 WU Allison 100% 99% 92% 70% 37% 11% 1%
48 KIM Olivia 100% 80% 41% 12% 2% - -
49 AI Mirabelle 100% 98% 82% 47% 14% 2% -
50 MORENO Josefina 100% 99% 86% 50% 15% 2% -
51 CHOI Lydia 100% 97% 80% 47% 16% 3% -
51 ARUNKISHORE Dakshina 100% 97% 79% 47% 17% 3% -
53 ARCE BASURCO Juliana 100% 75% 31% 6% - - -
54 YOUN Davina 100% 89% 57% 22% 4% - -
54 JIANG Ziqi 100% 87% 52% 18% 3% - -
56 YANG Ana 100% 84% 41% 11% 1% - -
57 ARRIBE Mila 100% 74% 29% 6% - - -
58 ZHU Claire 100% 90% 60% 24% 5% 1% -
59 LIU Madeleine 100% 60% 17% 2% - - -
60 TANG Clementine 100% 68% 27% 6% 1% - -
61 EBY Sophia 100% 83% 45% 13% 2% - -
61 ZHANG Annabelle 100% 81% 44% 14% 3% - -
63 LEE Clara 100% 34% 5% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.