The Cascade Clash SYC

Y-14 Men's Foil

Saturday, September 13, 2025 at 3:30 PM

Northwest Fencing Center - Tigard, OR, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LEE Jaden - - - - 4% 30% 66%
2 PARK William - - - 2% 14% 40% 43%
3 FUKUDA Brando - - - 3% 16% 41% 39%
3 OH Christopher - - 2% 11% 29% 38% 20%
5 WEI-NAVARRO Augustus - - 3% 14% 33% 36% 14%
6 YANG Charles - - - 1% 11% 38% 50%
7 PARK Jayden - - 2% 11% 34% 44% 9%
8 GUO Joey - 5% 20% 36% 29% 9% 1%
9 GANAPATHI Eshan - - - 4% 22% 45% 28%
10 TSUI Raedyn Ho Hin - - - 5% 25% 45% 24%
11 BHUPATHIRAJU Arjun - 1% 5% 21% 36% 29% 8%
12 PARK Andrew - - - 3% 16% 41% 39%
13 PARK Avan - 4% 16% 32% 32% 14% 2%
14 LEE Abin - - 2% 15% 45% 38%
15 CAO Sean - 4% 20% 39% 28% 8% 1%
16 XU Ethan 1% 7% 22% 33% 25% 9% 1%
17 RAU Shogun - 1% 6% 21% 37% 28% 7%
18 WANG Waylon - 4% 16% 32% 32% 14% 2%
19 PAINTER Zachary 1% 8% 26% 36% 23% 6% 1%
20 EVANS Desmond - 1% 6% 25% 46% 23%
21 YE Jerry - 1% 8% 23% 35% 26% 7%
22 TSUI Kaylan Ho Sen - 3% 17% 34% 31% 13% 2%
23 ZHANG Yankai - 1% 8% 24% 36% 25% 5%
24 GUO Austin - 1% 8% 25% 38% 24% 4%
25 MURDOCK Koichi - 4% 18% 36% 32% 9% 1%
26 RYU GREYSON 2% 15% 36% 35% 11% 1%
27 BEDWORTH Alistair - 1% 7% 23% 38% 26% 5%
28 JIN Yucheng - 3% 16% 34% 33% 13% 2%
29 PARK Kaiden 2% 14% 33% 33% 15% 3% -
30 HO Christopher - 1% 10% 28% 37% 20% 3%
31 LIN Alden 18% 41% 31% 9% 1% -
32 ZHENG Jonathan 5% 23% 35% 26% 9% 1% -
33 ALVAREZ Francisco Janusz - 1% 10% 31% 38% 17% 2%
34 TOYOFUKU Lucas 17% 40% 31% 11% 2% - -
35 SHAW eric 2% 11% 28% 34% 20% 5% -
36 PESKIN Kepler 1% 7% 21% 33% 27% 10% 1%
37 LAM Lazarus 4% 22% 38% 26% 8% 1% -
38 SLAIN Owen - - 4% 18% 36% 32% 10%
38 KUANG Vincent 4% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2% -
40 CREMEL Remi 1% 8% 27% 36% 21% 5% -
40 YU Jinyuan 1% 10% 27% 34% 21% 6% -
42 FOO Kingston 7% 25% 35% 24% 8% 1% -
43 LI Lief 7% 28% 37% 22% 6% - -
44 SAVAGE Angus 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1% -
45 JUE Lucas 4% 21% 37% 28% 9% 1% -
46 THOMAS Noah 20% 41% 29% 8% 1% -
47 SUN Oliver 6% 27% 40% 22% 5% -
48 CHANG Austin 11% 37% 35% 14% 3% - -
49 LIN Conrad 4% 21% 37% 28% 9% 1% -
50 TAN Alan 5% 21% 35% 27% 10% 2% -
51 KAJITA Grayson 17% 36% 30% 13% 3% - -
52 DING Sam 2% 14% 30% 32% 17% 4% -
53 LIGERET Leo 6% 29% 38% 21% 5% 1% -
54 ZHANG Derek 20% 40% 29% 10% 1% - -
54 MARSH Wyatt 37% 43% 17% 3% - - -
56 YAN Aaron 7% 29% 40% 20% 4% - -
57 CHEN William (Max) 11% 37% 36% 14% 2% - -
58 RYU Griffin 25% 41% 25% 8% 1% - -
59 NGUYEN Nolan 45% 41% 13% 2% - - -
59 GU Evan 27% 43% 23% 6% 1% - -
61 LI Alex 19% 39% 29% 11% 2% - -
62 LIN Stewart 45% 40% 13% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.