The Cascade Clash SYC

Y-14 Men's Foil

Saturday, September 13, 2025 at 3:30 PM

Northwest Fencing Center - Tigard, OR, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LEE Jaden 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 66%
2 PARK William 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 43%
3 FUKUDA Brando 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 39%
3 OH Christopher 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 20%
5 WEI-NAVARRO Augustus 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 14%
6 YANG Charles 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 50%
7 PARK Jayden 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 54% 9%
8 GUO Joey 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 10% 1%
9 GANAPATHI Eshan 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 28%
10 TSUI Raedyn Ho Hin 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 69% 24%
11 BHUPATHIRAJU Arjun 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 37% 8%
12 PARK Andrew 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 39%
13 PARK Avan 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 16% 2%
14 LEE Abin 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 38%
15 CAO Sean 100% 100% 96% 76% 37% 8% 1%
16 XU Ethan 100% 99% 92% 69% 36% 11% 1%
17 RAU Shogun 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 35% 7%
18 WANG Waylon 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 16% 2%
19 PAINTER Zachary 100% 99% 92% 66% 29% 7% 1%
20 EVANS Desmond 100% 100% 99% 94% 68% 23%
21 YE Jerry 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 33% 7%
22 TSUI Kaylan Ho Sen 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 15% 2%
23 ZHANG Yankai 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 5%
24 GUO Austin 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 28% 4%
25 MURDOCK Koichi 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 10% 1%
26 RYU GREYSON 100% 98% 83% 47% 12% 1%
27 BEDWORTH Alistair 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 31% 5%
28 JIN Yucheng 100% 100% 97% 81% 47% 14% 2%
29 PARK Kaiden 100% 98% 84% 51% 18% 3% -
30 HO Christopher 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 23% 3%
31 LIN Alden 100% 82% 41% 10% 1% -
32 ZHENG Jonathan 100% 95% 72% 36% 11% 2% -
33 ALVAREZ Francisco Janusz 100% 100% 99% 89% 58% 20% 2%
34 TOYOFUKU Lucas 100% 83% 44% 13% 2% - -
35 SHAW eric 100% 98% 88% 60% 26% 6% -
36 PESKIN Kepler 100% 99% 93% 71% 38% 12% 1%
37 LAM Lazarus 100% 96% 74% 36% 10% 1% -
38 SLAIN Owen 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 42% 10%
38 KUANG Vincent 100% 96% 77% 43% 14% 2% -
40 CREMEL Remi 100% 99% 91% 63% 27% 6% -
40 YU Jinyuan 100% 99% 89% 62% 27% 6% -
42 FOO Kingston 100% 93% 68% 34% 10% 2% -
43 LI Lief 100% 93% 65% 28% 6% - -
44 SAVAGE Angus 100% 93% 67% 31% 8% 1% -
45 JUE Lucas 100% 96% 74% 38% 10% 1% -
46 THOMAS Noah 100% 80% 39% 9% 1% -
47 SUN Oliver 100% 94% 67% 27% 5% -
48 CHANG Austin 100% 89% 52% 17% 3% - -
49 LIN Conrad 100% 96% 75% 38% 10% 1% -
50 TAN Alan 100% 95% 74% 39% 12% 2% -
51 KAJITA Grayson 100% 83% 47% 16% 3% - -
52 DING Sam 100% 98% 83% 53% 22% 5% -
53 LIGERET Leo 100% 94% 65% 27% 6% 1% -
54 ZHANG Derek 100% 80% 40% 11% 1% - -
54 MARSH Wyatt 100% 63% 20% 3% - - -
56 YAN Aaron 100% 93% 64% 24% 4% - -
57 CHEN William (Max) 100% 89% 52% 16% 2% - -
58 RYU Griffin 100% 75% 35% 9% 1% - -
59 NGUYEN Nolan 100% 55% 15% 2% - - -
59 GU Evan 100% 73% 30% 6% 1% - -
61 LI Alex 100% 81% 42% 12% 2% - -
62 LIN Stewart 100% 55% 15% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.