Pirate Day at NKFA

Div II Mixed Épée

Saturday, September 13, 2025 at 11:00 AM

NKFA Salle - Ludlow, KY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 TRAN John - 1% 11% 36% 39% 12%
2 ELLIS, IV Floyd 10% 33% 37% 17% 3%
3 MARTIN Dirk - 1% 6% 27% 46% 20%
3 TURNER Joshua - - 2% 14% 44% 40%
5 FULLER II Thomas 6% 26% 38% 24% 5%
6 STAUBITZ Marc 2% 14% 35% 35% 12% 1%
7 MAI Carl D. - 1% 12% 38% 40% 11%
8 LONG Erika 2% 16% 37% 34% 12% 1%
9 ADAMISIN Brayden - - 2% 13% 41% 44%
10 MCNARY Ross - 8% 30% 39% 20% 3%
11 MYERS Lewis 8% 36% 38% 15% 2% -
12 TLUCHOWSKI Sam 4% 23% 41% 26% 6% -
13 KOCSIS Cherry 37% 43% 17% 3% - -
14 SEABLOOM Jack 5% 22% 38% 28% 8%
15 BOGGESS Alexander 2% 13% 33% 37% 16%
16 LEWTON Grace 10% 32% 36% 18% 3%
17 CHATLOS Allison 17% 53% 27% 3% - -
18 PRIJATEL John R. - - 1% 11% 42% 46%
19 REEN Stephen - 4% 33% 43% 18% 2%
20 ABUSUNDUS Ahmed 30% 43% 22% 5% - -
21 CRAFT David M. 14% 40% 33% 11% 1% -
22 PETTIJOHN Luke 2% 17% 41% 35% 5% -
23 HOMAN Henry 58% 36% 6% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.