Pirate Day at NKFA

Div II Mixed Épée

Saturday, September 13, 2025 at 11:00 AM

NKFA Salle - Ludlow, KY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 TRAN John 100% 100% 99% 88% 52% 12%
2 ELLIS, IV Floyd 100% 89% 54% 18% 2%
3 MARTIN Dirk 100% 100% 99% 94% 68% 21%
3 TURNER Joshua 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 39%
5 FULLER II Thomas 100% 95% 70% 30% 5%
6 STAUBITZ Marc 100% 98% 85% 50% 14% 1%
7 MAI Carl D. 100% 100% 99% 88% 52% 12%
8 LONG Erika 100% 98% 80% 42% 10% 1%
9 ADAMISIN Brayden 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 42%
10 MCNARY Ross 100% 100% 92% 62% 23% 3%
11 MYERS Lewis 100% 92% 56% 18% 3% -
12 TLUCHOWSKI Sam 100% 96% 72% 32% 6% -
13 KOCSIS Cherry 100% 64% 21% 3% - -
14 SEABLOOM Jack 100% 95% 72% 34% 7%
15 BOGGESS Alexander 100% 98% 83% 49% 14%
16 LEWTON Grace 100% 93% 63% 25% 4%
17 CHATLOS Allison 100% 83% 30% 3% - -
18 PRIJATEL John R. 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 49%
19 REEN Stephen 100% 100% 96% 63% 20% 2%
20 ABUSUNDUS Ahmed 100% 70% 27% 5% - -
21 CRAFT David M. 100% 85% 45% 12% 1% -
22 PETTIJOHN Luke 100% 98% 81% 40% 5% -
23 HOMAN Henry 100% 42% 6% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.