SITS Grand Reopening 3 Weapon Tournament

Senior Mixed Saber

Saturday, September 13, 2025 at 1:00 PM

Sword in the Scroll Fencing Academy - Willimantic, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
1 CHENG Brandon - 2% 14% 31% 34% 16% 3%
2 KRUMHOLZ Michael A. - - - 1% 5% 23% 45% 27%
3 FERRIS Jonathan K. - - 2% 9% 23% 34% 25% 7%
3 LIU Alex - - 1% 8% 26% 41% 24%
5 SONG Aidan - 2% 15% 33% 33% 14% 2% < 1%
6 BELLIVEAU Raven C. 5% 23% 37% 25% 8% 1% -
7 KOCKELMAN Zeno - 3% 14% 30% 31% 16% 4% -
8 MORRISSEY joseph 1% 7% 22% 33% 26% 10% 1%
9 SENERTH Ian J. - 2% 11% 27% 34% 20% 4%
10 FRY Nicholas (Nico) J. - - 2% 10% 28% 38% 20% 3%
11 BURNHAM Elizabeth (Liz) A. 26% 41% 25% 7% 1% - -
12 BENIS Alexander 13% 39% 33% 13% 3% - - -
13 O'KEEFE Brian 1% 12% 37% 34% 13% 2% -
14 PODDAR Shameek 1% 8% 27% 35% 22% 7% 1% -
15 CLEMENTS Marcus 37% 42% 17% 3% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.