BFA Grand Prix - Stage 1

Y-10 Mixed Foil

Sunday, September 14, 2025 at 1:30 PM

Bida Fencing Academy - Santa Clara, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 TIKHONOV Aleksandr - 1% 6% 23% 37% 26% 7%
2 XIA Emily 2% 16% 39% 35% 7% < 1%
3 TAGNE Zoey 3% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2% < 1%
3 DING Athena 1% 7% 26% 36% 23% 6% 1%
5 LI Mason - - 2% 10% 29% 39% 19%
6 HO Kasper - 6% 22% 35% 26% 9% 1%
7 WANG Connor 8% 30% 38% 20% 4% -
8 CHUNG Lucas - 2% 11% 27% 34% 20% 5%
9 HAN Hsiu-Chi - 1% 7% 27% 43% 22%
10 HE Andrew - 1% 8% 24% 36% 25% 6%
11 PARKER Emerson 3% 17% 33% 30% 14% 3% -
12 XIE Caden 3% 17% 36% 31% 11% 2%
13 SIN Chad 36% 41% 18% 4% - - -
14 XU Evan 10% 31% 36% 18% 4% -
15 HE Melody 4% 20% 37% 29% 10% 1% -
16 CHEN Sarah < 1% 3% 18% 37% 31% 10% 1%
17 MALPICA Tao - 3% 11% 26% 33% 21% 6%
18 DELL Royce 15% 36% 32% 14% 3% - -
19 MA Joelle < 1% 5% 25% 40% 25% 5%
20 CHEN Bennett 1% 8% 24% 34% 24% 8% 1%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.