BFA Grand Prix - Stage 1

Y-10 Mixed Foil

Sunday, September 14, 2025 at 1:30 PM

Bida Fencing Academy - Santa Clara, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 TIKHONOV Aleksandr 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 7%
2 XIA Emily 100% 98% 81% 42% 7% < 1%
3 TAGNE Zoey 100% 97% 79% 45% 15% 2% < 1%
3 DING Athena 100% 99% 92% 66% 30% 7% 1%
5 LI Mason 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 19%
6 HO Kasper 100% 100% 93% 71% 37% 11% 1%
7 WANG Connor 100% 92% 61% 23% 4% -
8 CHUNG Lucas 100% 100% 98% 86% 59% 25% 5%
9 HAN Hsiu-Chi 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 22%
10 HE Andrew 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 31% 6%
11 PARKER Emerson 100% 97% 80% 47% 17% 3% -
12 XIE Caden 100% 97% 80% 44% 13% 2%
13 SIN Chad 100% 64% 23% 4% - - -
14 XU Evan 100% 90% 59% 23% 5% -
15 HE Melody 100% 96% 76% 39% 10% 1% -
16 CHEN Sarah 100% 100% 97% 79% 43% 11% 1%
17 MALPICA Tao 100% 100% 97% 86% 60% 27% 6%
18 DELL Royce 100% 85% 49% 17% 3% - -
19 MA Joelle 100% 100% 95% 70% 30% 5%
20 CHEN Bennett 100% 99% 92% 68% 33% 9% 1%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.