DCFC Champagne Challenge

Senior Mixed Épée

Sunday, September 14, 2025 at 10:00 AM

DC Fencers Club - Silver Spring, MD, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 TIKHONOV Ilia - - - 2% 15% 50% 33%
2 SNYDER IV William B. - - - 1% 8% 41% 51%
3 SWENSON Keane J. - - - 1% 13% 47% 38%
3 YANG Gary - - 4% 19% 40% 33% 4%
5 CARTER Austin L. - - - 1% 9% 40% 50%
6 TAMULONIS Fen C. - - 6% 32% 44% 18%
7 LEE Aiden - - 5% 25% 45% 25%
8 YI Nathan - - - 6% 30% 48% 16%
9 WANG Marcus 1% 12% 31% 35% 18% 3% -
10 BORAN Brooks - 7% 32% 43% 15% 2% -
11 FEELY Benjamin 18% 40% 30% 10% 1% - -
12 QI Julieanne - 2% 18% 46% 31% 4%
13 CHANEY Charles 6% 32% 46% 15% 2% -
14 GLOGOWSKI Konrad - - 4% 25% 49% 22%
15 BEREKNYEI Thomas - - 5% 29% 45% 21%
16 PRAKASH Rahul 1% 6% 24% 37% 25% 6% -
17 SHELLY Emery - - 3% 20% 46% 27% 4%
18 ZHU Yiming 2% 15% 35% 34% 13% 1% -
19 PARY Jean Pierre 5% 58% 33% 5% - -
20 SEID Zachary W. - 7% 45% 37% 10% 1%
21 ABU-AJAJ Mohamed 25% 47% 24% 3% - -
22 STRAFFORD Andrew 21% 42% 28% 8% 1% - -
22 LIN Haley 3% 18% 39% 30% 9% 1% -
24 SWICK Kerry J. - 3% 16% 36% 34% 10% 1%
25 PALPANDIAN Ilanchezhian 2% 17% 42% 31% 8% 1% -
26 BAYUS Oliver 35% 47% 16% 2% - -
27 CHRISTY Peter C. - < 1% 5% 28% 45% 21%
28 DELONG Mike 3% 18% 38% 31% 9% 1% -
29 WU Jiachen 25% 43% 25% 6% 1% - -
30 MILLER Balthazar 24% 50% 23% 3% - - -
31 CHAO Kira 87% 13% 1% - - -
32 FEELY Tom 4% 18% 33% 29% 13% 3% -
33 BERNSTEIN Leo 42% 44% 12% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.