DCFC Champagne Challenge

Senior Mixed Épée

Sunday, September 14, 2025 at 10:00 AM

DC Fencers Club - Silver Spring, MD, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 TIKHONOV Ilia 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 33%
2 SNYDER IV William B. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 51%
3 SWENSON Keane J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 85% 38%
3 YANG Gary 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 37% 4%
5 CARTER Austin L. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 51%
6 TAMULONIS Fen C. 100% 100% 100% 93% 62% 18%
7 LEE Aiden 100% 100% 100% 95% 70% 25%
8 YI Nathan 100% 100% 100% 100% 93% 62% 15%
9 WANG Marcus 100% 99% 88% 58% 22% 4% -
10 BORAN Brooks 100% 100% 93% 61% 18% 2% -
11 FEELY Benjamin 100% 82% 41% 11% 1% - -
12 QI Julieanne 100% 100% 98% 80% 34% 4%
13 CHANEY Charles 100% 94% 62% 16% 2% -
14 GLOGOWSKI Konrad 100% 100% 100% 96% 71% 22%
15 BEREKNYEI Thomas 100% 100% 100% 95% 66% 21%
16 PRAKASH Rahul 100% 99% 93% 69% 32% 7% -
17 SHELLY Emery 100% 100% 100% 97% 77% 32% 4%
18 ZHU Yiming 100% 98% 82% 48% 14% 1% -
19 PARY Jean Pierre 100% 95% 38% 5% - -
20 SEID Zachary W. 100% 100% 93% 48% 11% 1%
21 ABU-AJAJ Mohamed 100% 75% 27% 4% - -
22 STRAFFORD Andrew 100% 79% 37% 9% 1% - -
22 LIN Haley 100% 97% 78% 40% 10% 1% -
24 SWICK Kerry J. 100% 100% 97% 81% 44% 10% 1%
25 PALPANDIAN Ilanchezhian 100% 98% 81% 40% 8% 1% -
26 BAYUS Oliver 100% 65% 18% 2% - -
27 CHRISTY Peter C. 100% 100% 100% 95% 66% 21%
28 DELONG Mike 100% 97% 79% 40% 10% 1% -
29 WU Jiachen 100% 74% 31% 7% 1% - -
30 MILLER Balthazar 100% 76% 26% 3% - - -
31 CHAO Kira 100% 13% 1% - - -
32 FEELY Tom 100% 96% 78% 45% 16% 3% -
33 BERNSTEIN Leo 100% 58% 13% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.