MFA Y8, Y10, Y12, Div2 - All foil mixed events

Y-12 Mixed Foil

Sunday, September 14, 2025 at 1:00 PM

Marin Fencing Academy - San Rafael, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 COOK Owen 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 44% 9%
2 AGARWAL Jagrav 100% 100% 98% 85% 44% 3%
3 HOM Emma 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 37%
3 SINGH Reyaansh 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 41%
5 LUO Olivia 100% 100% 99% 91% 60% 16%
6 SPICER-YOUAKIM Benjamin 100% 99% 87% 55% 18% 2%
7 LUO Derren 100% 71% 29% 6% 1% -
8 PARK Thomas 100% 100% 98% 84% 51% 14%
9 FUNG Caleb 100% 99% 94% 72% 36% 8%
10 SINGH Shiv 100% 96% 73% 33% 6% -
11 GOLDSTEIN Benjamin 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 31% 4%
12 KAUDER Rourke 100% 84% 38% 8% 1% -
12 TANG Ming-Hao (Audrey) 100% 89% 52% 16% 2% -
14 LIN Vienna 100% 97% 80% 44% 13% 2% -
15 WONG Kingston 100% 96% 74% 37% 10% 1%
16 LEE Harry 100% 85% 45% 13% 2% -
17 ZHONG Dexter 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 19%
18 SINGH Aditi 100% 89% 58% 24% 6% 1% -
19 MURPHY Ava 100% 100% 100% 93% 64% 18%
20 FUNG Lucas 100% 95% 69% 29% 5% -
21 LOPEZ-HOR Emma Meixian 100% 75% 31% 6% - -
22 HU Marissa 100% 93% 62% 22% 3% - -
23 POOREY Sophie 100% 87% 53% 19% 3% - -
24 SHUM KEIRA 100% 79% 36% 7% 1% -
25 OLSON Jack 100% 100% 95% 73% 36% 8%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.