The Cascade Clash SYC

Y-14 Men's Saber

Sunday, September 14, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Northwest Fencing Center - Tigard, OR, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 KANG Matthew 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 64%
2 VO Blake 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 28%
3 KOZLOFF Wyatt 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 60%
3 XIE Justin 100% 99% 92% 66% 30% 7% 1%
5 KIM Suin 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 43% 9%
6 SOULES-ONO Makoa 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 23%
7 KOZLOV Lucas 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 61%
8 TANG Morgan 100% 100% 100% 96% 74% 28%
9 XU Yixiao 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 41%
10 LUC Linkin 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 40%
11 KANG Jeremy 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 31%
12 CHAN Troy 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 36% 5%
13 LI Ryan 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 29% 3%
14 LIEBISCH Milo 100% 98% 81% 45% 15% 2% -
15 LEE Kyle Sung Ju 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 12% 1%
16 GUVEN Derin 100% 100% 95% 73% 35% 8% -
17 LVOVSKIY Roman 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 25% 4%
18 HRISTOV Nickolas 100% 100% 98% 83% 46% 8%
19 YANG Jake 100% 99% 90% 62% 26% 5% -
20 YUEN Caleb 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 52% 15%
21 WANG James 100% 99% 88% 55% 17% 1%
22 MITCHELL-LU Hiro 100% 100% 94% 66% 22% 3% -
23 LUO Gavin 100% 99% 93% 67% 29% 6% -
24 NELSON Henry 100% 98% 82% 47% 16% 3% -
25 DUFF Michael 100% 100% 100% 94% 65% 19% 2%
26 KELLEHER Liam 100% 96% 72% 29% 5% - -
27 HOLMES Xavier 100% 98% 83% 45% 11% 1%
28 JOHNSON Jack 100% 82% 37% 8% 1% - -
29 LEE Brendan 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 13% 1%
30 SMITH Etienne 100% 94% 60% 20% 3% -
31 HIROTA Jackson 100% 40% 7% 1% - -
32 STAMPER Wyatt 100% 58% 16% 2% - - -
33 SU Eric 100% 99% 85% 48% 13% 1%
34 LEE Andrew 100% 90% 57% 21% 4% - -
35 HSIEH Maxwell 100% 89% 54% 17% 2% -
36 XIA Henson 100% 92% 62% 23% 4% -
37 XIA Daniel 100% 99% 87% 57% 22% 4% -
38 CAO Chong 100% 98% 84% 50% 17% 3% -
39 LIN Escher 100% 46% 10% 1% - - -
40 RAMBHIA Smit 100% 100% 97% 81% 48% 16% 2%
41 HONRADO Jan-Patrick 100% 94% 68% 31% 8% 1% -
42 MODJESKI Lincoln 100% 82% 35% 6% - - -
43 ERPELDING Ryan 100% 72% 29% 5% - -
44 BODO John 100% 80% 41% 11% 2% - -
44 HIROTA Mitchell 100% 58% 14% 1% - - -
46 MOODY-FUENTES Nelson 100% 97% 73% 35% 9% 1% -
46 HADFIELD Gavin 100% 40% 7% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.