The Cascade Clash SYC

Y-12 Men's Foil

Sunday, September 14, 2025 at 2:00 PM

Northwest Fencing Center - Tigard, OR, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 PARK Andrew 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 62%
2 XU Ethan 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 15%
3 WANG Waylon 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 26% 3%
3 PARK Kaiden 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 10% 1%
5 SLAIN Owen 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 30%
6 EVANS Desmond 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 44%
7 RAU Shogun 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 33%
8 MURDOCK Koichi 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 15%
9 LYU Brandon 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 47%
10 QU Zhida (richard) 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 62%
11 ALVAREZ Francisco Janusz 100% 100% 98% 90% 66% 31% 6%
12 PARK Avan 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 17%
13 TAO Jiemi 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 24%
14 JIN Yucheng 100% 100% 98% 83% 45% 9%
15 DING Sam 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 11%
16 ZHANG William 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 13% 1%
17 CREMEL Remi 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 36% 8%
18 SUN Lucas 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 15% 2%
19 LIU Bradley 100% 100% 96% 78% 44% 14% 2%
20 JUE Lucas 100% 99% 93% 68% 33% 9% 1%
20 RAJ Yojith 100% 97% 79% 45% 15% 2% -
22 LI Lief 100% 99% 94% 74% 39% 10% 1%
23 CHEN Dante 100% 96% 74% 37% 10% 1% -
24 FOO Kingston 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 23% 3%
25 NGUYEN Norris 100% 97% 80% 46% 15% 2%
26 TSUI Kaylan Ho Sen 100% 100% 96% 75% 33% 5%
27 PESKIN Kepler 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 25% 3%
28 KAJITA Grayson 100% 97% 83% 52% 21% 5% -
29 YU Jinyuan 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 17% 2%
30 LI Yunze 100% 97% 78% 37% 8% 1%
31 LIGERET Leo 100% 97% 79% 44% 14% 2% -
32 SAVAGE Angus 100% 97% 80% 46% 15% 2%
33 SUN Oliver 100% 100% 95% 80% 49% 18% 3%
34 WONG Sebastian 100% 83% 44% 13% 2% - -
35 LIN Dylan 100% 96% 78% 43% 14% 2% -
36 LO Enzo 100% 98% 87% 60% 28% 7% 1%
37 LAM Lazarus 100% 99% 94% 73% 38% 10% 1%
38 MENG Andy 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 6% -
39 MA Madrid 100% 73% 32% 8% 1% -
40 YU Ethan 100% 99% 88% 59% 25% 5% -
41 YAN Aaron 100% 81% 42% 12% 2% - -
41 CHONG Tanner 100% 96% 77% 42% 14% 2% -
43 RYU Griffin 100% 98% 86% 57% 24% 5% -
44 LIN Calvin 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 7% 1%
45 WANG Theodore 100% 97% 82% 49% 18% 3% -
46 LIN Conrad 100% 97% 78% 43% 13% 2%
47 DONG YIKUN 100% 60% 17% 2% - -
48 BROD Baylin 100% 85% 49% 16% 3% - -
49 GU Evan 100% 88% 54% 20% 4% - -
50 XU Benjamin 100% 70% 29% 7% 1% - -
51 ZHANG Alex 100% 86% 50% 16% 3% - -
52 MENG Eric 100% 92% 65% 30% 9% 1% -
53 LIN Stewart 100% 79% 40% 11% 2% - -
54 ZHANG Bryant 100% 46% 10% 1% - - -
55 LIM Jun Rui 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 21% 3%
56 MCBRIDE Sam 100% 90% 60% 24% 5% 1% -
57 DENG Augustine 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 34% 5%
58 ZHANG Derek 100% 82% 37% 8% 1% -
59 ZENG Cayden 100% 76% 34% 8% 1% - -
60 RAMIREZ Nicanor 100% 96% 71% 34% 9% 1% -
61 REILLY Boden 100% 89% 58% 24% 6% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.