The Cascade Clash SYC

Y-12 Men's Épée

Monday, September 15, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Northwest Fencing Center - Tigard, OR, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 DU Evan - - - - 4% 27% 68%
2 ZHANG Chaoyi(Joey) - - 3% 15% 32% 35% 14%
3 WU MiEr - - 2% 12% 31% 38% 17%
3 MOSLEY Wally - - 1% 8% 26% 40% 24%
5 KHUSHRAJ Rohan - 1% 7% 22% 35% 27% 7%
6 RAU Shogun - 1% 8% 24% 35% 25% 7%
6 LEE Lucas - - 3% 15% 34% 35% 13%
8 WONG Kyle - 7% 28% 43% 22%
9 DING Max - 6% 22% 37% 28% 8%
10 ZHAO Kyle Zekai 4% 30% 41% 21% 4%
11 HUA Nolan 1% 12% 35% 39% 14%
12 YOO Lucas 1% 16% 37% 33% 11% 1%
13 PURCELL Jonathan 6% 23% 34% 25% 10% 2% -
14 WANG Mason - 4% 16% 32% 31% 15% 3%
15 LIU Yihong - 5% 18% 33% 29% 12% 2%
16 YI Alexander - 2% 13% 31% 35% 16% 2%
17 LEE Joshua 1% 7% 23% 35% 25% 8% 1%
18 SONG Eric 1% 7% 22% 34% 26% 9% 1%
19 LU Ian - 1% 8% 26% 36% 23% 5%
20 FU Benjamin - 6% 26% 39% 24% 5%
21 WANG Suian (Andy) 1% 15% 39% 35% 10%
22 LIU YULIN - 6% 22% 36% 27% 8% -
23 SUN Jiarui (Jerry) - 3% 13% 30% 33% 18% 4%
24 ROBERTS Arthur - 4% 19% 36% 31% 10%
26 CHU Clayton 8% 28% 36% 21% 6% 1% -
27 LEUNG Joon 1% 10% 28% 35% 20% 5% -
27 LIN Logan - 4% 17% 35% 30% 12% 2%
29 LI Kingston 2% 18% 37% 30% 11% 2% -
30 YOON Ian 5% 22% 35% 27% 10% 2% -
31 PELCZAR James 31% 42% 21% 5% 1% - -
32 MA Madrid - 20% 40% 29% 9% 1% -
33 ZHENG Dylan 51% 38% 10% 1% - -
34 KOU Logan 49% 39% 11% 1% - - -
35 CHI Zachary 7% 32% 38% 18% 4% - -
36 AKKARA Skyler 52% 37% 10% 1% - - -
37 HAO hardy 64% 30% 5% - -
37 SOMANI Ilyaa 1% 9% 32% 38% 17% 2%
39 LI Jacob 17% 37% 31% 12% 2% - -
40 OLELE Chibuikem 2% 13% 31% 32% 17% 4% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.