The Cascade Clash SYC

Y-12 Men's Épée

Monday, September 15, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Northwest Fencing Center - Tigard, OR, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 DU Evan 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 68%
2 ZHANG Chaoyi(Joey) 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 14%
3 WU MiEr 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 17%
3 MOSLEY Wally 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 64% 24%
5 KHUSHRAJ Rohan 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 34% 7%
6 RAU Shogun 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 7%
6 LEE Lucas 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 13%
8 WONG Kyle 100% 100% 93% 64% 22%
9 DING Max 100% 100% 94% 72% 35% 8%
10 ZHAO Kyle Zekai 100% 96% 66% 24% 4%
11 HUA Nolan 100% 99% 88% 52% 14%
12 YOO Lucas 100% 99% 83% 45% 12% 1%
13 PURCELL Jonathan 100% 94% 71% 37% 11% 2% -
14 WANG Mason 100% 100% 96% 80% 49% 17% 3%
15 LIU Yihong 100% 100% 95% 76% 43% 14% 2%
16 YI Alexander 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 18% 2%
17 LEE Joshua 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 8% 1%
18 SONG Eric 100% 99% 92% 70% 36% 10% 1%
19 LU Ian 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 28% 5%
20 FU Benjamin 100% 100% 94% 68% 29% 5%
21 WANG Suian (Andy) 100% 99% 84% 45% 10%
22 LIU YULIN 100% 100% 94% 72% 36% 9% -
23 SUN Jiarui (Jerry) 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 21% 4%
24 ROBERTS Arthur 100% 100% 96% 77% 41% 10%
26 CHU Clayton 100% 92% 64% 28% 7% 1% -
27 LEUNG Joon 100% 99% 89% 60% 26% 5% -
27 LIN Logan 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 14% 2%
29 LI Kingston 100% 98% 80% 43% 13% 2% -
30 YOON Ian 100% 95% 73% 39% 12% 2% -
31 PELCZAR James 100% 69% 28% 6% 1% - -
32 MA Madrid 100% 100% 79% 39% 10% 1% -
33 ZHENG Dylan 100% 49% 11% 1% - -
34 KOU Logan 100% 51% 12% 1% - - -
35 CHI Zachary 100% 93% 60% 22% 4% - -
36 AKKARA Skyler 100% 48% 11% 1% - - -
37 HAO hardy 100% 36% 6% - -
37 SOMANI Ilyaa 100% 99% 90% 58% 19% 2%
39 LI Jacob 100% 83% 45% 15% 3% - -
40 OLELE Chibuikem 100% 98% 85% 54% 22% 5% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.