The Cascade Clash SYC

Y-10 Men's Foil

Monday, September 15, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Northwest Fencing Center - Tigard, OR, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LYU Brandon 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 76%
2 ZHANG William 100% 100% 100% 94% 71% 26%
3 MENG Eric 100% 99% 91% 64% 25% 4%
3 TAO Jiemi 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 70%
5 SUN Lucas 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 21%
6 CHEN Dante 100% 98% 87% 58% 24% 4%
7 LI Yunze 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 7%
8 ZENG Cayden 100% 97% 75% 32% 5% -
9 WANG Theodore 100% 99% 93% 67% 29% 5%
10 LIU Bradley 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 24%
11 DENG Augustine 100% 100% 95% 77% 42% 11%
12 ZHANG Alex 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 6% -
13 OH Timothy 100% 98% 83% 52% 19% 3% -
14 YUAN Vincent 100% 76% 36% 9% 1% - -
15 RAJ Yojith 100% 95% 74% 39% 12% 2%
16 LANG Xixi 100% 100% 100% 96% 68% 22%
17 YIN Luke 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 19% 1%
18 YU Ethan 100% 100% 98% 85% 55% 19% 2%
19 LIN Calvin 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 20% 2%
20 CREMEL Louis 100% 73% 32% 8% 1% - -
21 DONG YIKUN 100% 98% 86% 56% 22% 4% -
22 MENG Andy 100% 96% 77% 43% 14% 2%
23 ZHANG Bryant 100% 73% 31% 6% 1% -
24 XU Benjamin 100% 91% 60% 23% 5% - -
25 CHANG George 100% 87% 44% 10% 1% -
26 BROD Baylin 100% 93% 64% 25% 5% -
27 HUANG Aaron Jingyuan 100% 98% 85% 56% 23% 5% -
28 XIANG Ethan 100% 98% 86% 55% 22% 4% -
29 BIGELOW Francis 100% 95% 74% 37% 10% 1% -
30 CHEN Aaron 100% 60% 18% 3% - -
31 SU Jet 100% 88% 51% 16% 2% -
32 HAYWARD Luke 100% 85% 49% 17% 3% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.