BladeRunner ROC/RJC

Div I-A Women's Saber

Saturday, September 20, 2025 at 9:30 AM

Liontree Arena (RIMAC) @ UC San Diego - La Jolla, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 FEARNS Zara A. - - - 1% 13% 45% 41%
2 DJAMIRZE Zara - - 2% 14% 43% 41%
3 KANG Ellie - 1% 9% 30% 40% 19%
3 JIANG Evelyn - - 5% 22% 43% 29%
5 ARNOLD Hali - - 1% 10% 34% 41% 14%
6 GAIKWAD Ashmiee 2% 15% 35% 34% 12% 1%
7 GONZALEZ PARTIDA Valeria 10% 29% 35% 20% 6% 1%
8 VESTEL Mira B. - - 5% 28% 53% 13%
9 SCHMIDT Isabel - - - 4% 21% 44% 31%
10 YANG Lea - - 1% 6% 24% 44% 25%
11 GAUTAM Sahana - - 2% 11% 30% 39% 19%
12 LIN Elaine - - 4% 17% 35% 33% 11%
13 SHEARER Alena 4% 18% 33% 30% 13% 2%
14 LIU Sydney - - 1% 6% 24% 43% 27%
15 KIM Saeren - 5% 19% 35% 29% 10% 1%
16 LO Chloe - 5% 25% 39% 25% 5%
17 DOHERTY Maverick L. - - - 3% 29% 67%
18 KIM Satie - 4% 22% 39% 27% 8% 1%
19 GOLOVITSER Maya - - 2% 15% 36% 35% 11%
20 CHEN Elaine - - 5% 30% 41% 20% 3%
21 DIECK Miranda P. - 2% 13% 32% 36% 15% 1%
22 LI Sonia - 2% 11% 30% 36% 18% 2%
22 NGUYEN Summer 8% 28% 37% 22% 6% 1% -
24 KANG Soeun 9% 42% 36% 12% 2% -
25 YU Stella 9% 30% 37% 19% 4% -
26 LEI Zitong (Meya) 1% 5% 19% 34% 31% 11%
27 HU Michelle - - 4% 19% 39% 30% 8%
28 YUEN Nicole - - 2% 22% 42% 28% 6%
29 MUNGUIA Mila 1% 7% 24% 35% 24% 8% 1%
30 LIU kai yin aria - 2% 13% 35% 37% 13%
31 NAKA Emily 9% 34% 36% 17% 4% - -
32 LIN Ariel 24% 43% 26% 7% 1% -
33 LIGH Erenei J. - - 1% 6% 24% 44% 25%
34 LONG Jessie 3% 21% 42% 28% 5% -
35 NING Lynn 4% 22% 38% 27% 8% 1%
36 WANG Jiayi 1% 6% 20% 35% 29% 9%
37 GAY Sasha - 3% 16% 36% 34% 10%
38 HWANG Charlotte 24% 45% 25% 5% - -
39 BORTAI Eliza 4% 19% 36% 29% 11% 2% -
40 WONG Natalie - 6% 24% 35% 25% 8% 1%
41 STAPLEY Claire 29% 42% 22% 6% 1% - -
42 TENG Christine Renmei - 5% 22% 39% 27% 6%
43 DANG Kelia - 1% 10% 31% 42% 16%
44 LIU Hannah 17% 39% 32% 11% 1% -
45 TONG Laurie 4% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2%
46 ZHAI AMY - 7% 28% 39% 22% 4%
46 PANCHAL Arya 65% 30% 4% - - -
48 SAYSON Andrea - 2% 12% 31% 34% 17% 3%
49 LIN Annika 1% 10% 29% 35% 20% 5% -
50 MOON Claire 1% 10% 36% 37% 15% 3% -
51 SUN Angela 7% 37% 46% 9% 1% - -
52 BHAVSAR Vanmayi 11% 48% 32% 8% 1% - -
53 WONG Cerise 28% 45% 23% 4% - -
54 HSIEH Lucia 6% 23% 35% 26% 9% 1%
55 KIRBY Skye 18% 41% 30% 9% 1% -
56 HAN Emma 14% 37% 34% 13% 2% -
57 YU Skylar 1% 10% 28% 35% 20% 5% -
58 JUNG Sienna 49% 39% 10% 1% - - -
59 HENRY Erin 18% 49% 29% 3% - - -
60 OLKO Sophie 12% 36% 35% 14% 2% - -
61 MATSUO Kei 2% 15% 39% 35% 8% -
62 DEMARIA Lauren 7% 29% 37% 21% 5% 1% -
63 ROSS Lucy 47% 42% 10% 1% - - -
64 LI Jessie 66% 30% 4% - - - -
65 SOSIS Bella 4% 19% 33% 28% 12% 3% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.