BladeRunner ROC/RJC

Div I-A Women's Saber

Saturday, September 20, 2025 at 9:30 AM

Liontree Arena (RIMAC) @ UC San Diego - La Jolla, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 FEARNS Zara A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 41%
2 DJAMIRZE Zara 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 41%
3 KANG Ellie 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 19%
3 JIANG Evelyn 100% 100% 100% 94% 72% 29%
5 ARNOLD Hali 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 55% 14%
6 GAIKWAD Ashmiee 100% 98% 83% 47% 13% 1%
7 GONZALEZ PARTIDA Valeria 100% 90% 61% 27% 6% 1%
8 VESTEL Mira B. 100% 100% 100% 94% 67% 13%
9 SCHMIDT Isabel 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 31%
10 YANG Lea 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 25%
11 GAUTAM Sahana 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 19%
12 LIN Elaine 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 11%
13 SHEARER Alena 100% 96% 78% 44% 15% 2%
14 LIU Sydney 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 69% 27%
15 KIM Saeren 100% 100% 95% 75% 40% 11% 1%
16 LO Chloe 100% 100% 94% 69% 30% 5%
17 DOHERTY Maverick L. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 67%
18 KIM Satie 100% 100% 96% 74% 35% 9% 1%
19 GOLOVITSER Maya 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 47% 11%
20 CHEN Elaine 100% 100% 100% 95% 64% 23% 3%
21 DIECK Miranda P. 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 17% 1%
22 LI Sonia 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 20% 2%
22 NGUYEN Summer 100% 92% 65% 28% 6% 1% -
24 KANG Soeun 100% 91% 50% 14% 2% -
25 YU Stella 100% 91% 61% 23% 4% -
26 LEI Zitong (Meya) 100% 99% 94% 76% 42% 11%
27 HU Michelle 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 38% 8%
28 YUEN Nicole 100% 100% 100% 98% 76% 34% 6%
29 MUNGUIA Mila 100% 99% 92% 68% 33% 9% 1%
30 LIU kai yin aria 100% 100% 98% 85% 50% 13%
31 NAKA Emily 100% 91% 58% 21% 4% - -
32 LIN Ariel 100% 76% 33% 7% 1% -
33 LIGH Erenei J. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 25%
34 LONG Jessie 100% 97% 75% 33% 5% -
35 NING Lynn 100% 96% 74% 36% 9% 1%
36 WANG Jiayi 100% 99% 94% 73% 38% 9%
37 GAY Sasha 100% 100% 97% 81% 44% 10%
38 HWANG Charlotte 100% 76% 31% 5% - -
39 BORTAI Eliza 100% 96% 77% 42% 13% 2% -
40 WONG Natalie 100% 100% 93% 69% 34% 9% 1%
41 STAPLEY Claire 100% 71% 29% 6% 1% - -
42 TENG Christine Renmei 100% 100% 94% 73% 34% 6%
43 DANG Kelia 100% 100% 99% 89% 58% 16%
44 LIU Hannah 100% 83% 44% 12% 1% -
45 TONG Laurie 100% 96% 77% 43% 14% 2%
46 ZHAI AMY 100% 100% 93% 65% 27% 4%
46 PANCHAL Arya 100% 35% 5% - - -
48 SAYSON Andrea 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 20% 3%
49 LIN Annika 100% 99% 88% 60% 25% 5% -
50 MOON Claire 100% 99% 90% 54% 17% 3% -
51 SUN Angela 100% 93% 56% 10% 1% - -
52 BHAVSAR Vanmayi 100% 89% 41% 9% 1% - -
53 WONG Cerise 100% 72% 27% 4% - -
54 HSIEH Lucia 100% 94% 71% 36% 10% 1%
55 KIRBY Skye 100% 82% 40% 10% 1% -
56 HAN Emma 100% 86% 49% 15% 2% -
57 YU Skylar 100% 99% 89% 60% 25% 5% -
58 JUNG Sienna 100% 51% 12% 1% - - -
59 HENRY Erin 100% 82% 33% 4% - - -
60 OLKO Sophie 100% 88% 51% 16% 3% - -
61 MATSUO Kei 100% 98% 83% 44% 9% -
62 DEMARIA Lauren 100% 93% 64% 26% 6% 1% -
63 ROSS Lucy 100% 53% 11% 1% - - -
64 LI Jessie 100% 34% 4% - - - -
65 SOSIS Bella 100% 96% 76% 43% 15% 3% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.