September Skirmish

Mixed Épée

Saturday, September 20, 2025 at 1:30 PM

Vergennes Union High School - South Burlington, VT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WEI Zikun 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 92%
2 BUSH Thomas 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 27%
3 LEVANDOWSKI Jim 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 36% 7%
3 OSHIMA Robert 100% 100% 95% 72% 35% 9% 1%
5 DJONOUMA Toyohm 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 66% 18%
6 MARCOUX Alexander 100% 99% 91% 65% 29% 6% -
7 LUSSIER Jesse B. 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 7%
8 WHITEHURST JJ 100% 100% 96% 81% 46% 11%
9 TANG Jeremy 100% 100% 97% 81% 49% 17% 2%
10 HAN Keyi 100% 99% 80% 39% 8% 1% -
11 BIANCOSINO Kirin 100% 94% 69% 34% 9% 1%
12 RUGGLES William R. 100% 95% 75% 39% 11% 1%
13 COFFIN Carleton 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 26%
14 MAY Ciaran 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 58% 15%
15 KROLEWSKI Alexander 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 42% 9%
16 LIN George 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 17% -
17 LUNIEVICZ Joseph P. 100% 99% 89% 62% 26% 5% -
18 WALTING Paul J. 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 33% 7%
19 CRAWFORD Chandler 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 4% -
20 KIM Joshua 100% 91% 62% 26% 6% 1% -
21 LEVANDOWSKI Lakota 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 6% -
22 RICCOBONO Matthew 100% 99% 93% 69% 30% 6% -
23 ZIMMERMAN Robert 100% 98% 79% 44% 14% 2% -
24 COLLIER Samara 100% 70% 25% 4% - - -
25 CROTHER-COLLADO Gabriela 100% 96% 75% 38% 10% 1% -
26 POWERFREEMAN Mark 100% 83% 46% 15% 3% - -
27 ROSENBLATT Aidan 100% 89% 57% 22% 5% -
28 FUHR Jacob 100% 98% 84% 53% 20% 3%
29 GRADY James 100% 77% 33% 7% 1% - -
30 HENTY Colton 100% 100% 94% 68% 30% 6% 1%
31 WHEELER Michele L. 100% 88% 44% 11% 1% - -
32 KROHN Matthew 100% 97% 78% 40% 10% 1% -
33 POPE MCCRIGHT Emma 100% 47% 11% 1% - - -
34 WELLS Walt 100% 99% 89% 55% 19% 3% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.