September Skirmish

Junior Mixed Foil

Saturday, September 20, 2025 at 1:30 PM

Vergennes Union High School - South Burlington, VT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 GOLDENBOGEN Simon 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 67%
2 KROLEWSKI Nathaniel 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 29% 3%
3 KROHN Daphne 100% 86% 32% 5% < 1% - -
3 PEDEN Evelyn 100% 100% 100% 100% 91% 31% 2%
5 BILLINGS Viviana 100% 100% 99% 86% 22% 1% -
6 TENNAKOON Jess 100% 93% 49% 4% - - -
7 WITTMEYER Ronan 100% 83% 45% 14% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.