The Durkan Rooster RYC/RJCC

Y-14 Men's Saber

Saturday, September 20, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Factory 220 - Passaic, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 KARAVAS Nicholas - - - 2% 15% 47% 36%
2 WANG Theodore - 1% 9% 28% 40% 21%
3 MELE Gianni - - 3% 13% 31% 37% 16%
3 LI Michael - 4% 18% 36% 32% 10%
5 LAU Kyrus - - 1% 9% 27% 41% 22%
6 DAI Zihou - - - 3% 17% 42% 38%
7 MATTOO Dhruv - - 4% 16% 33% 33% 13%
8 TASIKAS Peter - - 5% 19% 37% 31% 8%
9 BELAND Riley James "RJ" - - - 2% 19% 49% 30%
10 LI Lucas 9% 31% 37% 19% 4% < 1% -
11 AVERY Marcus - 1% 8% 24% 35% 25% 7%
12 GAW Zachary 3% 24% 39% 25% 7% 1% -
13 BRADY Jack 1% 6% 23% 38% 26% 6%
14 FOUX Jonathan 2% 15% 33% 31% 15% 4% -
15 ZHANG Simon 1% 8% 25% 34% 23% 8% 1%
16 HE Nolan 2% 14% 31% 32% 17% 4% -
17 SOKOLOV Lucas 13% 35% 35% 15% 3% -
18 ROMBERG Sam - 1% 6% 20% 34% 30% 10%
19 WU Vincent - 1% 8% 23% 35% 26% 8%
20 TERENTIEV Michael - - 2% 11% 30% 38% 18%
21 GUERRA Corey - 3% 14% 30% 32% 17% 4%
22 LIANG Morgan - - 3% 15% 41% 40%
23 CHANG Liam 2% 13% 29% 32% 18% 5% 1%
24 NARAYAN Rishi - 1% 8% 29% 43% 18% 2%
25 SUBA Mason - 1% 7% 22% 35% 27% 8%
26 CHAN Ewan 1% 7% 25% 38% 24% 4%
27 CIECIEREGA MATTHEW 3% 22% 40% 27% 7% -
28 SOCHNIKOV Jacob 10% 30% 34% 19% 5% 1% -
29 ARUN Viyaan 3% 16% 32% 31% 15% 3% -
30 XIANG Austin 2% 18% 36% 30% 11% 2% -
31 LI Sebastian 9% 31% 38% 19% 4% - -
32 FAUSTO Aidan - 3% 24% 46% 24% 3%
33 LEE Ryan - - 2% 11% 30% 39% 17%
34 LI Kent 1% 10% 27% 34% 21% 6% 1%
35 PARK Layne 3% 20% 36% 29% 10% 1%
36 PARK Sean - 3% 15% 34% 33% 14% 2%
37 O'KEEFE Brody 1% 6% 20% 33% 28% 12% 2%
38 DAI Ethan 11% 32% 34% 18% 5% 1% -
39 JAKOSALEM Dean 4% 18% 34% 29% 12% 2% -
39 KRISHNAN Arjun 12% 35% 36% 15% 2% - -
41 SONG Ryan 1% 7% 21% 34% 27% 9% 1%
42 LEE Jeffrey 2% 16% 36% 33% 11% 1% -
43 PALERMO Evan 23% 40% 27% 9% 2% - -
44 ZHANG Howard - 4% 17% 33% 31% 13% 2%
45 ZHAO Alexander - 4% 18% 35% 30% 11% 1%
46 BURNS Carson 8% 28% 37% 21% 5% -
47 SEDAKA Dylan 17% 39% 31% 11% 2% -
48 BALTRUSAITIS Lucas Tommaso 13% 34% 34% 16% 4% - -
49 FERTIK Navon - 6% 25% 39% 24% 6% -
50 YUN Matthew 21% 42% 28% 8% 1% - -
50 GAW Christian 20% 39% 28% 10% 2% - -
52 VINCENT Yijia 51% 37% 10% 1% - -
53 CHEN Tyler 45% 39% 13% 2% - - -
54 LI Xinren 61% 32% 6% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.