The Durkan Rooster RYC/RJCC

Y-14 Men's Saber

Saturday, September 20, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Factory 220 - Passaic, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 KARAVAS Nicholas 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 36%
2 WANG Theodore 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 21%
3 MELE Gianni 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 16%
3 LI Michael 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 10%
5 LAU Kyrus 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 22%
6 DAI Zihou 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 38%
7 MATTOO Dhruv 100% 100% 99% 95% 79% 46% 13%
8 TASIKAS Peter 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 38% 8%
9 BELAND Riley James "RJ" 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 30%
10 LI Lucas 100% 91% 60% 24% 5% < 1% -
11 AVERY Marcus 100% 100% 99% 90% 67% 32% 7%
12 GAW Zachary 100% 97% 72% 33% 8% 1% -
13 BRADY Jack 100% 99% 93% 70% 32% 6%
14 FOUX Jonathan 100% 98% 82% 50% 19% 4% -
15 ZHANG Simon 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 9% 1%
16 HE Nolan 100% 98% 84% 53% 21% 5% -
17 SOKOLOV Lucas 100% 87% 52% 17% 3% -
18 ROMBERG Sam 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 39% 10%
19 WU Vincent 100% 100% 99% 91% 69% 34% 8%
20 TERENTIEV Michael 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 18%
21 GUERRA Corey 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 21% 4%
22 LIANG Morgan 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 40%
23 CHANG Liam 100% 98% 85% 56% 24% 5% 1%
24 NARAYAN Rishi 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 20% 2%
25 SUBA Mason 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 35% 8%
26 CHAN Ewan 100% 99% 92% 67% 28% 4%
27 CIECIEREGA MATTHEW 100% 97% 75% 35% 8% -
28 SOCHNIKOV Jacob 100% 90% 60% 25% 6% 1% -
29 ARUN Viyaan 100% 97% 81% 49% 18% 4% -
30 XIANG Austin 100% 98% 80% 44% 14% 2% -
31 LI Sebastian 100% 91% 61% 23% 4% - -
32 FAUSTO Aidan 100% 100% 97% 73% 27% 3%
33 LEE Ryan 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 17%
34 LI Kent 100% 99% 88% 61% 27% 6% 1%
35 PARK Layne 100% 97% 77% 41% 12% 1%
36 PARK Sean 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 15% 2%
37 O'KEEFE Brody 100% 99% 94% 74% 41% 13% 2%
38 DAI Ethan 100% 89% 57% 23% 5% 1% -
39 JAKOSALEM Dean 100% 96% 78% 44% 15% 3% -
39 KRISHNAN Arjun 100% 88% 53% 18% 2% - -
41 SONG Ryan 100% 99% 93% 71% 37% 10% 1%
42 LEE Jeffrey 100% 98% 82% 45% 12% 1% -
43 PALERMO Evan 100% 77% 37% 11% 2% - -
44 ZHANG Howard 100% 100% 95% 78% 45% 15% 2%
45 ZHAO Alexander 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 12% 1%
46 BURNS Carson 100% 92% 64% 27% 6% -
47 SEDAKA Dylan 100% 83% 44% 13% 2% -
48 BALTRUSAITIS Lucas Tommaso 100% 87% 54% 20% 4% - -
49 FERTIK Navon 100% 100% 94% 69% 30% 6% -
50 YUN Matthew 100% 79% 37% 8% 1% - -
50 GAW Christian 100% 80% 41% 13% 2% - -
52 VINCENT Yijia 100% 49% 12% 1% - -
53 CHEN Tyler 100% 55% 16% 2% - - -
54 LI Xinren 100% 39% 7% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.