The Durkan Rooster RYC/RJCC

Y-12 Women's Saber

Saturday, September 20, 2025 at 8:30 AM

Factory 220 - Passaic, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 DANIELS Jordanna 100% 100% 100% 98% 80% 12%
2 WILLER Anna 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 15%
3 KARAVAS Lucy 100% 96% 75% 40% 12% 1%
3 XU Isabella 100% 99% 94% 74% 38% 9%
5 VARAH Alaia 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 28%
6 LIU Alyssa 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 21% 3%
7 GU Allison 100% 100% 95% 78% 44% 12%
8 AN Jasmine 100% 99% 94% 75% 41% 12% 1%
9 BAO Amelia 100% 100% 96% 81% 51% 20% 3%
10 GERSON Lilly 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 11%
11 AVATAPALLI Sri Aadya 100% 98% 85% 55% 22% 4%
12 FENG chloe 100% 99% 90% 65% 31% 8% 1%
13 ALPEROVICH Madeline 100% 95% 69% 31% 6% -
14 ONG Katherine 100% 98% 85% 53% 20% 3%
15 ZHANG Annalyn 100% 100% 97% 85% 57% 23% 4%
16 LAMTAN Trinity 100% 99% 94% 73% 37% 9%
17 SAXENA Devina Shyamli 100% 95% 70% 30% 6% -
18 KONG Hermione 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 43% 11%
19 YAP Anna 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 7%
20 BIVIJI Rania 100% 97% 78% 41% 11% 1%
21 FREY Elise 100% 99% 94% 73% 37% 8%
22 CHEN Chloe 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 37% 9%
23 KRISHNAN Anu 100% 94% 70% 35% 11% 2% -
24 PUR-RASHID Kiva 100% 93% 62% 21% 2% -
25 KRITZ Sofia 100% 97% 82% 49% 17% 3%
26 KONDE Anika 100% 95% 72% 37% 10% 1%
27 YANG Rachel 100% 92% 62% 26% 6% 1%
28 SINGH Zara 100% 100% 89% 57% 20% 3%
29 DEMATTEIS Katarina 100% 84% 48% 16% 3% - -
30 RIFKIN Talia 100% 91% 61% 25% 6% 1% -
31 WU Jing 100% 81% 44% 14% 2% -
32 TANG Julia 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 28%
33 BORROK Katherine 100% 74% 32% 7% 1% -
34 GAO Madeleine 100% 100% 84% 49% 16% 3% -
35 PRAKASH Lithika 100% 79% 38% 10% 1% - -
36 AVDEEV Katherine 100% 82% 43% 13% 2% -
37 LEOU Eliana 100% 74% 33% 8% 1% -
38 LONG Penelope 100% 100% 86% 51% 18% 3% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.