The Durkan Rooster RYC/RJCC

Cadet Women's Saber

Saturday, September 20, 2025 at 4:00 PM

Factory 220 - Passaic, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 REN Katherine 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 16%
2 BAIK Sarah 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 26%
3 HUANG Pierra 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 40% 10%
3 MAK Kaitlin 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 74% 30%
5 MAK Jayden 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 27% 3%
6 WANG JiaQi 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 50% 14%
7 WONG Charlene 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 27% 5%
8 VATS Ishita 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 27% 5%
9 CHOWDHERY Myra 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 61% 19%
10 GUGALA Hanna 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 59%
11 KWON Ava 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 12%
12 ILAGAN Ava 100% 100% 98% 87% 53% 17% 2%
13 XU Elaine 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 27%
14 CAFAGNA Sofia 100% 97% 80% 45% 14% 2% -
15 LEE Kaitlin 100% 100% 99% 88% 57% 19% 2%
16 LIU Chelsea 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 28% 5%
17 ZHANG Audrey 100% 99% 88% 60% 27% 7% 1%
18 PARK Haylie 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 34% 7%
19 BORGUETA Madison 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 25% 4%
20 ZHENG Winona 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 22% 3%
21 LEE Grace 100% 100% 100% 94% 71% 30% 5%
22 GOEL Lineysha 100% 100% 97% 82% 52% 20% 3%
23 KIM Eunjae 100% 98% 82% 47% 15% 2% -
24 MISHRA Riona 100% 99% 87% 50% 15% 2% -
25 CANARAN Daphne M. 100% 92% 61% 25% 6% 1% -
26 VINBOR COSTA SANTOS Sasha 100% 96% 71% 30% 6% 1% -
27 PARK Gabriella 100% 99% 85% 49% 15% 2% -
28 TASSONE Charlie 100% 61% 20% 4% - - -
29 JOHN Sophia 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 39% 10%
30 SMITH Genevieve 100% 92% 55% 17% 2% - -
31 CONVERSO-PARSONS Maia 100% 94% 68% 31% 8% 1% -
32 AN Jamie 100% 93% 65% 27% 6% 1% -
33 RIFKIN Lielle 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 8% 1%
34 SHI Chuqing 100% 97% 76% 36% 9% 1% -
35 PATEL Sia 100% 47% 9% 1% - - -
36 JAJRA Avni 100% 98% 72% 30% 6% 1% -
36 CHO Hayoon 100% 97% 81% 49% 19% 4% -
38 LEON Malolae 100% 90% 52% 16% 2% - -
39 BUCCINO Sloane 100% 64% 21% 4% - - -
39 MUKHERJEE Simone 100% 45% 9% 1% - - -
41 UPBIN Olivia 100% 20% 1% - - - -
42 CHURCH Madeline 100% 70% 28% 6% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.