10th Annual Orange and Blue

Senior Mixed Saber

Saturday, September 20, 2025 at 11:30 AM

Southwest Recreation Center - Gainesville, FL, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MCGUIRE Christian 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 87%
2 HAYES David 100% 100% 100% 89% 45% 8% -
3 BECKER William L. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97%
3 YADAV Lakshya 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 21%
5 IRWIN Peter 100% 100% 100% 94% 63% 19%
6 GLEASON Sean 100% 100% 100% 99% 86% 41% 1%
7 DUPREE Thomas 100% 100% 100% 100% 93% 60%
8 YADAV Tishya 100% 99% 90% 62% 24% 3%
9 VAN NIMWEGEN Nicholas 100% 100% 99% 92% 59% 14%
10 TOSCANO Sebastian 100% 99% 88% 58% 19% 1%
11 MOTTLAU Maddox 100% 96% 78% 42% 12% 1%
12 KAMAL Aidan 100% 99% 93% 64% 21% 2%
13 CURTIS Kevin 100% 69% 24% 4% - -
14 SHERIDAN Filip 100% 82% 43% 12% 1% -
15 SHERSTNOVA Nadiia 100% 94% 70% 35% 10% 1%
16 FREEDMAN Alexander 100% 97% 75% 30% 5% -
17 DE SOUZA CABRERO Yorrick 100% 100% 98% 84% 46% 8%
18 MARTIN Zak 100% 84% 40% 9% 1% -
19 WOLF Gabriel 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 12%
20 ARESERY Daniel 100% 100% 100% 56% 13% 1% -
21 BOUNDS Andrew 100% 98% 84% 50% 14% 1%
22 MOSHER Kai 100% 93% 61% 22% 4% -
23 MILLER SACKMAN Anita 100% 55% 7% - - - -
24 FERBER Kenneth 100% 90% 59% 22% 4% -
25 TORO Diego 100% 97% 75% 35% 7% -
26 FREEMAN Rian 100% 93% 65% 27% 5% -
27 YADAV Ajay 100% 63% 19% 3% - -
28 KHIA Gabriel 100% 100% 96% 77% 37% 5% -
29 RIVERA-HERNÁNDEZ Javier 100% 90% 58% 22% 4% -
30 PELLETIER Skylar 100% 69% 19% - - - -
31 ESPAILLAT Kayla 100% 94% 62% 19% 2% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.