10th Annual Orange and Blue

Div II Mixed Épée

Saturday, September 20, 2025 at 1:00 PM

Southwest Recreation Center - Gainesville, FL, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 SEEDS Aidan - 3% 17% 42% 38%
2 WAGMAN Robert S. - - 6% 34% 59%
3 SLOTER Lewis E. - 3% 17% 37% 32% 10%
3 KARPF Jonah 3% 19% 37% 29% 10% 1%
5 CARRERO Quentin 3% 23% 42% 27% 5%
6 HART Justin 25% 50% 22% 3% -
7 HAMER-HODGES Charles - 4% 18% 35% 31% 10%
8 BARRETT John 8% 30% 39% 19% 3%
9 COLLINS Hannah 40% 45% 14% 1% -
10 QUADRI Saira 8% 33% 39% 17% 2%
11 HEINZE Luke H. - 2% 14% 34% 36% 14%
12 PHAM Hailey 47% 40% 11% 1% - -
13 GUADAMUZ Cesar 5% 25% 37% 24% 7% 1%
14 SIENRA Xabier 4% 26% 44% 24% 3%
15 MCFARLAND John G. 1% 19% 43% 30% 6%
16 NARANJO Andrew 6% 32% 43% 17% 2%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.