Event Results
10th Annual Orange and BlueSurprise Map
Green wins and red losses stand out more as the result becomes less expected.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | SEEDS Aidan | D D V V | V V V V | 3.1 | 2 | -1.1 |
| 2 | WAGMAN Robert S. | V V V V | V V V D | 3.5 | 4 | +0.5 |
| 3 | SLOTER Lewis E. | D D V V V | V V D | 3.2 | 3 | -0.2 |
| 3 | KARPF Jonah | D V V V D | V V D | 2.3 | 3 | +0.7 |
| 5 | CARRERO Quentin | V V D V | V D | 2.1 | 3 | +0.9 |
| 6 | HART Justin | D V V V | V D | 1.0 | 3 | +2.0 |
| 7 | HAMER-HODGES Charles | V V D D V | V D | 3.2 | 3 | -0.2 |
| 8 | BARRETT John | V D V D | V D | 1.8 | 2 | +0.2 |
| 9 | COLLINS Hannah | V D V D | D | 0.8 | 2 | +1.2 |
| 10 | QUADRI Saira | V D V D | D | 1.7 | 2 | +0.3 |
| 11 | HEINZE Luke H. | V D D D V | D | 3.5 | 2 | -1.5 |
| 12 | PHAM Hailey | D V D V D | D | 0.7 | 2 | +1.3 |
| 13 | GUADAMUZ Cesar | V D V D D | D | 2.1 | 2 | -0.1 |
| 14 | SIENRA Xabier | V D D D | D | 1.9 | 1 | -0.9 |
| 15 | MCFARLAND John G. | D V D D | D | 2.2 | 1 | -1.2 |
| 16 | NARANJO Andrew | D D D D | D | 1.8 | 0 | -1.8 |
| Color | Outcome | Difficulty | Win Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |