10th Annual Orange and Blue

Div II Mixed Saber

Saturday, September 20, 2025 at 3:30 PM

Southwest Recreation Center - Gainesville, FL, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MCGUIRE Christian 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 87%
2 YADAV Lakshya 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 32%
3 DUPREE Thomas 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 36%
3 YADAV Tishya 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 15% 2%
5 BALLOU Johnathan 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 60%
5 TOSCANO Sebastian 100% 100% 100% 92% 62% 19% 1%
7 IRWIN Peter 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 40%
8 KAMAL Aidan 100% 100% 95% 77% 41% 11% 1%
9 BOUNDS Andrew 100% 100% 99% 85% 48% 14% 1%
10 ARRANT Mason 100% 100% 100% 93% 64% 23% 3%
11 MOTTLAU Maddox 100% 100% 96% 75% 36% 7% -
12 SHERSTNOVA Nadiia 100% 99% 84% 44% 7% - -
13 MOSHER Kai 100% 98% 84% 50% 18% 3% -
14 SHERIDAN Filip 100% 99% 85% 48% 14% 1% -
15 FREEDMAN Alexander 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 16% 1%
16 YADAV Ajay 100% 97% 68% 26% 5% - -
17 DE SOUZA CABRERO Yorrick 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 57% 12%
18 VAN NIMWEGEN Nicholas 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 56% 17%
19 FREEMAN Rian 100% 84% 47% 15% 2% - -
20 WOLF Gabriel 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 55% 15%
21 ARESERY Daniel 100% 100% 100% 98% 72% 21% 1%
22 RIVERA-HERNÁNDEZ Javier 100% 98% 86% 51% 16% 2% -
23 MARTIN Zak 100% 96% 76% 39% 11% 1% -
24 TORO Diego 100% 98% 85% 52% 17% 2% -
25 BLESSING Katherine 100% 100% 92% 58% 19% 3% -
26 MILLER SACKMAN Anita 100% 43% 6% - - - -
27 MALAJ Kristela 100% 78% 20% 2% - - -
28 PELLETIER Skylar 100% 55% 12% 1% - - -
29 KHIA Gabriel 100% 96% 72% 33% 8% 1% -
30 ESMER Ekin 100% 100% 91% 42% 4% - -
31 FERBER Kenneth 100% 100% 92% 53% 16% 2% -
32 ESPAILLAT Kayla 100% 72% 29% 6% 1% - -
33 MILLER Echo 100% 100% 94% 67% 28% 5% -
34 VYCE Jacqueline 100% 53% 10% 1% - - -
35 KHAN AALIYAH 100% 84% 41% 9% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.