TFC September Fence-a-thon

Y-12 Mixed Foil

Sunday, September 21, 2025 at 8:00 AM

The Fencing Center of San Jose - San Jose, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LAM Dorris Yandor 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 52% 14%
2 LIU Aiden 100% 100% 99% 89% 54% 14%
3 YAN Aaron 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 10%
3 SHAO Tysen 100% 98% 87% 59% 25% 6% 1%
5 ARUNKISHORE Dakshina 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 61% 19%
6 ZHAN Catherine 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 41%
7 LIN Dylan 100% 99% 88% 47% 12% 1%
8 KHANAL Sarah 100% 99% 90% 63% 29% 7% 1%
9 CHUNG Charlotte 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 39% 9%
10 DONG Nancy 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 29% 5%
11 AGARWAL Jagrav 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 8%
12 SUN Lucas 100% 100% 99% 89% 55% 15%
13 KUO Esme 100% 91% 59% 23% 5% -
14 DONG YIKUN 100% 97% 80% 47% 16% 2% -
15 BHOOMI Abhiram 100% 100% 96% 82% 51% 19% 3%
16 FUNG Caleb 100% 97% 79% 46% 16% 3% -
17 CREMEL Remi 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 63% 23%
18 SHU Kayla 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 3%
19 WONG Sebastian 100% 95% 74% 38% 11% 1% -
20 SITU Baiqin 100% 100% 100% 94% 67% 23%
21 HOM Emma 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 37%
22 LI Claire 100% 99% 89% 61% 25% 4%
23 TANG Clementine 100% 100% 97% 75% 31% 6% -
24 MAHAPATRA Alisha 100% 99% 91% 68% 35% 10% 1%
25 SOUSA Lauren 100% 85% 49% 16% 3% - -
26 TANG Ming-Hao (Audrey) 100% 78% 38% 11% 2% -
27 LUO Olivia 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 6%
28 FUNG Lucas 100% 85% 50% 18% 4% - -
29 JUSON Julianne Lauren 100% 90% 52% 17% 3% - -
30 SUN Suri 100% 97% 81% 45% 14% 2% -
31 LIN Tiffany 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 12%
32 KUO Liang-Jun 100% 29% 3% - - -
33 YANG Claire 100% 94% 71% 35% 10% 1% -
34 WANG Ian 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 7% -
35 POOREY Sophie 100% 82% 43% 13% 2% - -
37 HSU Courtney 100% 75% 28% 4% - - -
38 MAK Avery 100% 92% 27% 3% - -
39 CREMEL Louis 100% 98% 86% 54% 18% 2%
40 LOU Alexander 100% 93% 63% 22% 2% - -
41 JACOBE Jakyn 100% 70% 29% 7% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.