TFC September Fence-a-thon

Y-10 Mixed Foil

Sunday, September 21, 2025 at 2:00 PM

The Fencing Center of San Jose - San Jose, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SUN Lucas 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 30%
2 ZHANG Bryant 100% 98% 86% 53% 19% 3%
3 LEUNG Joon 100% 100% 99% 91% 54%
3 DONG YIKUN 100% 89% 59% 24% 5% -
5 TIKHONOV Aleksandr 100% 98% 87% 58% 23% 4%
6 HO Kasper 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 14%
7 XU Benjamin 100% 95% 69% 28% 4%
8 ZENG Cayden 100% 98% 87% 59% 24% 4%
9 SUN Zoey 100% 96% 78% 46% 17% 4% -
10 CHUNG Lucas 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 34% 8%
11 YUAN Vincent 100% 97% 82% 49% 16% 2%
12 LI Claire 100% 91% 62% 26% 6% -
13 LI Mason 100% 100% 94% 69% 30% 6%
14 MAHAJAN Mira 100% 99% 89% 63% 29% 7% 1%
15 PARKER Emerson 100% 97% 79% 43% 14% 2% -
16 CHANG George 100% 93% 64% 24% 3%
17 HE Andrew 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 28%
18 LEE Ethan 100% 85% 46% 12% 1%
19 SIN Chad 100% 65% 17% 2% - -
20 LEE Jasper 100% 78% 37% 10% 1% -
21 DONG Ena 100% 99% 91% 67% 35% 11% 1%
22 HAN Hsiu-Chi 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 36% 8%
23 DING Athena 100% 99% 91% 66% 29% 5%
24 SURENDRA Nivan 100% 100% 95% 74% 36% 7%
25 XIA Emily 100% 98% 84% 52% 19% 3%
26 XU Evan 100% 82% 41% 10% 1%
27 HOU Alice 100% 96% 56% 16% 2% -
27 MALPICA Tao 100% 90% 60% 24% 5% -
29 LEE Jayden 100% 99% 85% 47% 13% 1%
30 WANG Erin 100% 97% 77% 39% 10% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.