BladeRunner ROC/RJC

Div I-A Men's Saber

Sunday, September 21, 2025 at 2:00 PM

Liontree Arena (RIMAC) @ UC San Diego - La Jolla, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LIM William J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 54%
2 RAJA Arnav 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 41%
3 FRIAS Saul F. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 69%
3 ANDRES Michael 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 29% 5%
5 LEE Noah 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 54% 9%
6 JOO Jeein 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 69% 24%
7 HWANG Jayden 100% 100% 98% 86% 50% 8%
8 ZUBATIY Samuel 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 67% 23%
9 WONG Lucas 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 29% 5%
10 KIM-COGAN Ryan 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 30%
11 BONIFIELD Arthur G. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 65% 18%
12 HOLZ Lucas 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 6%
13 CHENEY Christopher (Chris) M. 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 27%
14 KOVALEV Daniil N. 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 58% 17%
15 GREENSTEIN Viktor 100% 89% 58% 23% 5% -
16 HENRY Ethan 100% 66% 21% 3% - -
17 QIU Nathan 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 30%
17 YANG Dylan 100% 99% 88% 61% 26% 5%
19 IM Tyler 100% 99% 93% 69% 33% 8% 1%
20 ZHAO Zhiyu(Yogi) 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 38% 7%
21 LI Yiwei 100% 100% 99% 93% 65% 21% 2%
22 RAMANAN Govind 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 16%
23 POFF Kainoa 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 11%
24 SO Hananiah 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 67%
25 GREMILLION Obadiah 100% 97% 80% 46% 15% 2%
26 RAMTEKKAR Soham 100% 99% 88% 55% 17% 2% -
27 AURAY Phileas 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 48%
28 TANI Tino 100% 100% 95% 69% 26% 4% -
29 HO Anson 100% 92% 63% 27% 6% - -
29 LI Ayden 100% 100% 94% 71% 34% 8% 1%
31 MUNGUIA Nathan 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 40% 9%
32 SU Kingston 100% 91% 57% 18% 2% - -
33 KANG Evan 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 26% 3%
34 ERMAKOV Semeon 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 21%
35 WONG David 100% 96% 76% 37% 8% -
36 WANG Samuel 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 15%
37 BARRIOS Diego 100% 100% 95% 72% 33% 7%
38 TAO Jeffrey 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 30%
39 LEE Brian 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 16% 2%
40 KANG Matthew 100% 99% 94% 72% 36% 9% 1%
41 YANG Phillip 100% 100% 97% 81% 47% 13% 1%
42 GARDNER David 100% 98% 83% 49% 16% 2% -
43 MINASIAN Mason 100% 94% 69% 31% 7% 1% -
44 SRIVATSAV Ishaan 100% 94% 48% 11% 1% - -
45 ZEYU wu 100% 99% 87% 51% 14% 1%
46 CHAN Henry 100% 97% 78% 42% 13% 2% -
47 SINGHAL Armaan 100% 97% 75% 37% 10% 1% -
48 NOBLE Daniel 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 49%
49 CONTRACTOR Cyrus 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 27% 4%
50 MANDEL Adam J. 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 43% 9%
51 YAP Kah Kai (Cayden) 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 11%
51 LI Yidong A. 100% 99% 91% 64% 27% 5% -
53 WESLER Logan A. 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 24%
54 VEDRE Neil 100% 90% 58% 21% 3% -
55 IYER Neil 100% 92% 65% 28% 6% 1% -
56 JOUFFLINEAU Yohann 100% 87% 51% 17% 3% - -
57 VO Landon 100% 99% 82% 40% 9% 1% -
58 GATTO Enzo P. 100% 59% 16% 2% - - -
59 LI Leo 100% 95% 72% 36% 10% 1% -
60 CAO Donald 100% 94% 70% 34% 9% 1%
61 RADJABLI Maximillian 100% 95% 74% 39% 12% 1%
62 BROWN Andrew 100% 87% 52% 18% 3% - -
63 XIAO Brayden 100% 95% 74% 37% 10% 1% -
64 KULKARNI Shreyas 100% 40% 7% 1% - - -
65 CHAN Elliott 100% 99% 81% 42% 11% 1% -
66 ROSALES Vincent 100% 89% 54% 19% 3% - -
67 COBIAN Richard 100% 88% 53% 17% 2% -
68 TENG Lucas 100% 34% 5% - - -
69 LUC Linkin 100% 91% 60% 23% 5% - -
70 WANG HongXi 100% 99% 77% 36% 9% 1% -
71 KWON Kenneth 100% 100% 90% 57% 20% 3% -
72 HWANG Hagan 100% 96% 71% 32% 8% 1% -
73 CHI Everett 100% 86% 48% 15% 3% - -
74 CHEN Cooper 100% 76% 29% 6% 1% -
75 BEAM David E. 100% 100% 95% 73% 34% 7%
76 BERENHOLZ Jared G. 100% 96% 68% 28% 5% -
77 MARQUEZ Jeremy 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 8% 1%
78 LIU Daniel 100% 83% 46% 14% 2% - -
79 WU Yiyang 100% 99% 91% 66% 28% 5% -
80 ZHANG KAIQI 100% 94% 65% 25% 4% - -
81 ZHANG Kaixuan 100% 98% 77% 34% 6% -
82 LIU Yijin 100% 84% 46% 13% 1% -
83 SRIVATSAV Anay 100% 69% 27% 5% 1% - -
84 LEE Brandon 100% 79% 39% 10% 1% - -
85 BRUM Charles E. 100% 63% 20% 3% - - -
86 TSENG Kyle H. 100% 17% 1% - - - -
86 LIANG David 100% 26% 2% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.