BladeRunner ROC/RJC

Junior Women's Foil

Sunday, September 21, 2025 at 2:00 PM

Liontree Arena (RIMAC) @ UC San Diego - La Jolla, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LIU Samantha 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 63% 20%
2 VILLARAMA Kara 100% 98% 83% 50% 17% 2%
3 MANIKTALA Prisha 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 14%
3 KIM Sydney 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 17%
5 AYUPOVA AMELIYA 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 66% 22%
6 ZHANG Ivy 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 23%
7 POEI Lauren 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 14%
8 WYNN Kylie 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 17%
9 LI Alice 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 16%
10 TAO Ann 100% 96% 75% 39% 11% 1%
11 GUAN Adeline 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 23%
12 MIYASHIRO Katelyn 100% 97% 80% 46% 15% 2%
13 DAI Iris Yuyang 100% 100% 93% 68% 31% 7% -
14 LIU Ariana 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 30% 4%
15 WU Chingfei Amber 100% 99% 89% 61% 24% 4%
16 LIM Kensie 100% 90% 56% 20% 4% -
17 SUN Emily 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 55%
18 DUAN Sophie 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 52% 13%
19 LIU Ashley 100% 96% 75% 39% 11% 1%
20 LEVESQUE Brielle 100% 100% 96% 78% 41% 9%
21 LAY Apollonia 100% 91% 62% 26% 6% -
22 KIM Natalie 100% 69% 27% 5% 1% -
23 HSIAO Ariya 100% 96% 73% 35% 9% 1%
24 ZEE Savannah 100% 100% 95% 74% 37% 9% 1%
25 ZONG Melody 100% 95% 71% 35% 9% 1%
26 YONG Rosalind 100% 100% 95% 75% 38% 8%
27 RUI Jessie 100% 80% 40% 11% 2% -
28 GUO Audrey 100% 99% 86% 51% 15% 2% -
29 JIN Jada Y 100% 93% 60% 20% 3% - -
30 FANG Kelervia 100% 82% 42% 12% 2% -
31 HAN Gian 100% 94% 69% 32% 8% 1%
32 ZHANG Viviana 100% 86% 51% 17% 3% -
33 PEDERSEN Haley 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 14% 1%
34 LUCAS Ava 100% 83% 38% 9% 1% - -
35 CHANG Janelle 100% 95% 68% 27% 4% - -
36 TU Averie 100% 57% 14% 2% - - -
37 MONAT Jennifer 100% 77% 37% 10% 1% -
38 BUI Aubrie 100% 54% 14% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.