The Durkan Rooster RYC/RJCC

Junior Women's Saber

Sunday, September 21, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Factory 220 - Passaic, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MACKAY Katherine 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 40%
2 BROWN Aria 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 13%
3 GUGALA Hanna 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 35%
3 CHOI Charlotte 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 21%
5 MALEK Zolie 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 43%
6 KNOBEL Sophia 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 20%
7 BAIK Sarah 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 10%
8 JOHN Sophia 100% 100% 97% 79% 44% 13% 2%
9 REN Katherine 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 38% 9%
10 CASTELO Soleil 100% 100% 95% 77% 42% 10%
10 MAK Kaitlin 100% 100% 95% 74% 36% 8%
12 LEE Kaitlin 100% 97% 80% 45% 14% 2%
13 LOURENCO Alexandra 100% 99% 77% 35% 8% 1%
14 BORGUETA Madison 100% 98% 77% 39% 11% 1%
15 MULLER Inara 100% 99% 90% 63% 26% 4%
16 LEE Grace 100% 92% 62% 25% 5% -
17 PARK Haylie 100% 99% 86% 52% 18% 3%
18 CHOWDHERY Myra 100% 100% 98% 84% 52% 19% 3%
19 NG Sophia 100% 99% 89% 62% 26% 5% -
20 VATS Ishita 100% 100% 95% 73% 38% 11% 1%
21 SCHAIBLE Sofia L. 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 13%
22 ILAGAN Ava 100% 94% 71% 35% 9% 1%
23 XU Elaine 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 26% 4%
24 INSINGA Ava 100% 95% 73% 38% 12% 2% -
25 VISWANATHAN Nishka 100% 96% 74% 39% 12% 2% -
26 KHOST Maeve 100% 100% 95% 73% 38% 11% 1%
27 MAK Jayden 100% 100% 83% 43% 11% 1%
28 BANEGAS Shelly 100% 100% 96% 77% 41% 10% 1%
29 KWON Ava 100% 99% 88% 58% 21% 3%
30 PASUPULETI Laya 100% 94% 69% 33% 9% 1%
31 PRESANTH Nandana 100% 100% 93% 68% 30% 6%
32 WONG Charlene 100% 93% 68% 32% 8% 1%
33 WANG JiaQi 100% 100% 99% 88% 58% 23% 4%
34 LOO Kaitlyn 100% 100% 91% 60% 21% 3%
35 LIU Chelsea 100% 92% 65% 30% 7% 1%
36 WANG Chloe 100% 73% 31% 7% 1% -
37 NAYAK Esha 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 38% 9%
38 VINOD DAS AADARSHINI 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 20% 3%
39 RIFKIN Lielle 100% 100% 78% 38% 10% 1% -
40 TASSONE Charlie 100% 48% 10% 1% - - -
41 LIU Teresa 100% 89% 50% 16% 3% - -
42 JAJRA Avni 100% 33% 5% - - -
43 PATEL Sia 100% 9% - - - -
44 EDUSA Leilani 100% 84% 48% 16% 3% - -
44 UPBIN Olivia 100% 6% - - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.