The Durkan Rooster RYC/RJCC

Y-12 Men's Épée

Sunday, September 21, 2025 at 11:30 AM

Factory 220 - Passaic, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHIANG William 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 22%
2 YAO Ryan 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 48%
3 CHEN Aiden 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 22%
3 KO Ethan 100% 99% 90% 66% 34% 10% 1%
5 NOOL Aaron 100% 100% 98% 88% 56% 17%
6 LAI Jayden 100% 100% 95% 79% 49% 19% 3%
7 YAO Aiden 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 22%
8 CHEN Regis 100% 99% 92% 70% 36% 10% 1%
9 GUJJA Rishabh 100% 100% 99% 94% 76% 42% 11%
10 ARMSTRONG Payson 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 51% 16%
11 ZHU David 100% 98% 86% 58% 25% 6% -
12 CHEN Daniel 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 19%
13 TANG Jayce 100% 99% 94% 74% 40% 11% 1%
14 JAISING Kian 100% 89% 60% 26% 7% 1% -
15 MAURAIS JP 100% 100% 96% 82% 52% 20% 3%
16 NG Remy 100% 100% 98% 87% 61% 27% 5%
17 LITVINOVSKY Benjamin 100% 99% 90% 65% 32% 9% 1%
18 DUDDA Kavin 100% 99% 92% 71% 37% 11% 1%
19 KIM Brendan 100% 89% 58% 25% 6% 1% -
20 ZINCHUK Yuri 100% 98% 88% 61% 29% 8% 1%
21 LAI Jaxon 100% 97% 79% 46% 16% 3% -
22 SHABBIR Mohammad Amaan 100% 98% 85% 55% 22% 4% -
23 SALIBA Jackson 100% 97% 81% 51% 20% 5% -
24 CHEUNG Daniel 100% 100% 96% 78% 40% 9%
25 CARPENTER Taisei 100% 93% 62% 24% 5% -
26 LIU FREDERICK 100% 100% 97% 85% 58% 25% 5%
27 GOH Cayden 100% 99% 91% 68% 35% 11% 1%
28 GOOD Adam 100% 66% 22% 4% - -
29 YOU Emmanuel 100% 95% 73% 39% 13% 2% -
30 GORE Noah 100% 82% 45% 15% 3% - -
31 HERIGSTAD Daniel 100% 88% 55% 21% 4% - -
31 PRIETO Cole 100% 96% 77% 45% 16% 3% -
33 YIN Xiangheng 100% 98% 89% 63% 30% 8% 1%
34 YAN Milan 100% 93% 66% 31% 9% 1% -
35 YONG Connor 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 30% 6%
36 LAW Benjamin 100% 92% 65% 29% 7% 1% -
37 CHARNA Luca 100% 91% 58% 21% 4% -
38 HWANG Chase 100% 93% 68% 32% 9% 1% -
39 YADAV Aarav 100% 96% 78% 47% 18% 4% -
40 YANG JULIAN 100% 98% 88% 62% 29% 7% 1%
41 MAK Nolan 100% 81% 44% 15% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.