The Durkan Rooster RYC/RJCC

Cadet Women's Foil

Sunday, September 21, 2025 at 12:00 PM

Factory 220 - Passaic, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MCSHERRY Ava 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 82%
2 LI Han (Helina) 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 74%
3 TSIMIKLIS Aphrodite 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 54%
3 CAO Amelie 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 27% 2%
5 MCSHERRY Kayla 100% 100% 100% 98% 81% 31%
6 EYER Brooke 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 69% 18%
6 DIMATULAC Elise Ann 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 59%
8 LI Savannah 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 45% 8%
9 LI Joy 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 72% 19%
10 PEVZNER Nicole 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 54%
11 KAPRAN Anastasia 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 35%
12 DE CASTRO Kai 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 49% 10%
13 OLAWOYE Jadesola 100% 100% 98% 85% 45% 11% 1%
14 KRAHE Annika 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 37% 3%
15 ROBERTS Anastasia 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 48% 6%
16 MCFARLANE Asha 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 37%
17 WANG Amabel 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 92% 47%
18 ORBE-AUSTIN Nia 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 53% 12%
19 KOESTERS Florentine 100% 100% 94% 65% 21% 3% -
20 SFINTESCU Emma 100% 100% 97% 83% 47% 11% 1%
21 LI Christina 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 27% 2%
22 COLE Sofia 100% 100% 99% 91% 56% 11% 1%
23 HUSSIAN Annabelle 100% 100% 94% 68% 22% 2%
24 ORBÉ-AUSTIN Maya 100% 100% 100% 96% 73% 30% 4%
25 WU Charlotte 100% 96% 76% 36% 7% - -
26 ZELDIN Nadia 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 85% 42%
27 STEWART Isla 100% 84% 45% 13% 2% - -
28 YOUM Amelia 100% 93% 62% 23% 4% - -
29 CHAN Kaitlyn 100% 96% 75% 35% 7% - -
30 HOLLIS Priscillia 100% 99% 82% 36% 6% - -
31 HUDSON Sophie 100% 86% 34% 5% - - -
32 ZHU Ella 100% 100% 99% 93% 65% 19% 2%
33 GOMEZ Sofia 100% 76% 29% 4% - -
34 KANDALAFT Emma 100% 94% 68% 29% 5% - -
35 BAULIN Zoya 100% 99% 90% 61% 23% 3% -
36 FEDER Acadia 100% 100% 96% 71% 24% 2% -
37 SUN Erin 100% 97% 72% 25% 4% - -
38 HOU Xu 100% 90% 58% 20% 3% - -
39 BROWN Katelyn 100% 81% 34% 6% - - -
40 FAN Melody 100% 96% 71% 27% 4% - -
41 CAVANAGH Emma 100% 98% 82% 44% 11% 1% -
42 CULLEN Serena 100% 90% 54% 16% 2% - -
43 KIM Claire 100% 93% 61% 19% 2% -
44 DINAR Julia 100% 95% 70% 31% 6% - -
45 MCCORMICK Ella 100% 51% 10% 1% - - -
46 WAN Celine 100% 97% 79% 39% 9% 1% -
47 LENZ Phoebe 100% 65% 22% 3% - - -
48 BALIN Sophia 100% 90% 56% 19% 3% - -
49 VACCARO Lillian 100% 71% 25% 3% - -
50 SONG Sarah 100% 51% 12% 1% - - -
51 DONG Katelyn 100% 87% 50% 15% 2% - -
52 JIANG Doris 100% 81% 32% 5% - - -
53 PAEK Mila 100% 76% 34% 7% 1% - -
54 LOBO Sophie 100% 58% 15% 1% - - -
55 SEO Celine 100% 36% 4% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.