The Durkan Rooster RYC/RJCC

Y-12 Women's Foil

Sunday, September 21, 2025 at 4:00 PM

Factory 220 - Passaic, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 JOO Sara 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 80%
2 XING Melly 100% 100% 100% 100% 93% 56%
3 CHAN Jolene 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 60%
3 ZHU Alivia 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 35%
5 LU Sophia 100% 100% 93% 69% 31% 7% < 1%
6 LIN Zhishan 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 74% 32%
7 ENRIQUEZ Bianca Perla 100% 100% 99% 94% 69% 23%
8 JAZWINSKI Ivy 100% 100% 99% 94% 67% 16%
9 MURPHY Genevieve 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 42%
10 PAEK Ellie 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 11% -
11 ZHENG Annalyn 100% 100% 100% 99% 86% 36%
12 WANG Joann 100% 100% 100% 94% 66% 16%
13 LIANG Jasmine 100% 98% 84% 47% 9% 1%
14 HEMPHILL Mia 100% 100% 95% 76% 42% 13% 2%
15 DONG Audrey 100% 100% 98% 83% 50% 15% 1%
16 KIM Lael 100% 97% 78% 35% 6% -
17 DOMINIK Eliana 100% 98% 84% 51% 19% 4% -
18 POONIA Akira 100% 86% 48% 14% 2% -
19 LE Minnie 100% 99% 90% 57% 15% 1%
20 REILLY Carys 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 25% 4%
21 GOMEZ Amelia 100% 93% 63% 26% 6% 1% -
22 JIN Emily 100% 70% 24% 3% - -
23 LEVITE Lilliana 100% 80% 39% 9% 1% -
24 NIVAS Tvisha 100% 88% 51% 14% 1% -
25 CLOUD Chrystie 100% 92% 63% 25% 4% -
26 ZELDIN Nina 100% 89% 54% 18% 3% -
27 KOESTERS Cecilie 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 23% 3%
28 LEE Gretchen 100% 100% 95% 76% 39% 10% -
29 ZHU Alicia 100% 77% 36% 8% 1% -
30 WANG Michelle 100% 97% 76% 36% 6% -
31 LI Beatrice 100% 97% 80% 43% 11% 1%
32 CLOUD Cailynn 100% 88% 49% 12% 1% -
33 CHOUDRY Charlotte 100% 86% 47% 14% 2% - -
34 DEVISETTY Anjali 100% 92% 61% 21% 2% -
34 KAUR Harjas 100% 72% 28% 5% - -
36 CHEN Quianna 100% 71% 24% 3% - -
37 NAUTIYAL Asha 100% 59% 18% 3% - - -
37 PATEL Tiana 100% 59% 16% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.