The Durkan Rooster RYC/RJCC

Y-12 Men's Saber

Sunday, September 21, 2025 at 4:00 PM

Factory 220 - Passaic, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CIECIEREGA MATTHEW - - 5% 21% 37% 29% 7%
2 TO Aiden - 2% 14% 32% 34% 16% 3%
3 SHAPIRO Leo - - - 5% 21% 42% 32%
3 TERENTIEV Michael - - - 4% 20% 42% 33%
5 LI Lucas - 4% 18% 33% 30% 13% 2%
6 ARUN Viyaan - 4% 17% 32% 30% 14% 2%
7 NARAYAN Rishi - 1% 5% 18% 34% 31% 11%
8 ZHAO Alexander - 5% 18% 34% 31% 11%
9 ZHANG Howard 2% 16% 35% 32% 13% 2%
10 O'KEEFE Brody - 2% 11% 29% 35% 19% 4%
11 KNOBEL Benjamin - 4% 17% 32% 30% 14% 2%
12 CHEN Ryan - 2% 11% 29% 35% 19% 4%
13 PARK Layne 1% 5% 20% 35% 30% 9%
14 FAZELINIA Erfaan - 4% 16% 32% 31% 14% 2%
15 BURNS Carson - 3% 16% 34% 32% 13% 2%
16 PARK Sean - 1% 6% 21% 34% 28% 9%
17 WANG Russell 1% 8% 29% 39% 21% 3%
18 KRISHNARASA Aiyann - - 2% 12% 30% 37% 18%
19 ZHANG Mark 6% 24% 36% 25% 9% 1%
20 HAMM Bennett 2% 11% 29% 35% 20% 4%
21 SUH Ethan - 6% 25% 41% 24% 3%
22 CHEN Tyler 9% 32% 35% 18% 5% 1% -
23 KIM Colin - 4% 17% 32% 30% 14% 2%
24 THEETHIRA Kevin-Cariappa 8% 30% 37% 20% 5% 1% -
25 PARROCO Jacob - 2% 11% 30% 36% 18% 3%
26 PALERMO Evan 6% 25% 36% 24% 8% 1% -
27 VINCENT Yian - 2% 13% 30% 33% 18% 4%
28 LI Xinren 26% 48% 21% 4% - - -
29 PACIUS Hunter - 3% 17% 37% 34% 8%
30 CHUNG Liam 1% 10% 31% 37% 19% 3%
31 CONSTANTINE Leonidas 4% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2%
32 TIAN Alex 1% 7% 28% 37% 21% 5% -
33 HO Alexander 37% 41% 17% 4% - -
34 ROBLES Rafael 1% 9% 26% 34% 22% 7% 1%
35 ABADIR james 28% 43% 23% 6% 1% - -
36 KOWALIK III Edward 18% 38% 30% 12% 2% -
37 CHOI Dylan 7% 26% 37% 23% 7% 1% -
38 XU Jayden 38% 41% 17% 3% - - -
38 SKOLNIK Leo 31% 44% 20% 4% - - -
40 LI-CHUA Theodore 37% 41% 18% 4% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.