The Durkan Rooster RYC/RJCC

Y-12 Men's Saber

Sunday, September 21, 2025 at 4:00 PM

Factory 220 - Passaic, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CIECIEREGA MATTHEW 100% 100% 100% 94% 74% 36% 7%
2 TO Aiden 100% 100% 98% 84% 52% 18% 3%
3 SHAPIRO Leo 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 32%
3 TERENTIEV Michael 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 33%
5 LI Lucas 100% 100% 95% 78% 45% 15% 2%
6 ARUN Viyaan 100% 100% 96% 79% 47% 16% 2%
7 NARAYAN Rishi 100% 100% 99% 94% 76% 42% 11%
8 ZHAO Alexander 100% 100% 95% 77% 42% 11%
9 ZHANG Howard 100% 98% 82% 47% 15% 2%
10 O'KEEFE Brody 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 23% 4%
11 KNOBEL Benjamin 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 16% 2%
12 CHEN Ryan 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 23% 4%
13 PARK Layne 100% 99% 94% 74% 39% 9%
14 FAZELINIA Erfaan 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 17% 2%
15 BURNS Carson 100% 100% 97% 81% 47% 15% 2%
16 PARK Sean 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 9%
17 WANG Russell 100% 99% 91% 62% 23% 3%
18 KRISHNARASA Aiyann 100% 100% 100% 97% 86% 56% 18%
19 ZHANG Mark 100% 94% 71% 35% 10% 1%
20 HAMM Bennett 100% 98% 87% 59% 24% 4%
21 SUH Ethan 100% 100% 93% 68% 27% 3%
22 CHEN Tyler 100% 91% 59% 24% 5% 1% -
23 KIM Colin 100% 100% 96% 78% 46% 16% 2%
24 THEETHIRA Kevin-Cariappa 100% 92% 62% 25% 6% 1% -
25 PARROCO Jacob 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 21% 3%
26 PALERMO Evan 100% 94% 69% 33% 10% 1% -
27 VINCENT Yian 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 21% 4%
28 LI Xinren 100% 74% 26% 4% - - -
29 PACIUS Hunter 100% 100% 96% 80% 42% 8%
30 CHUNG Liam 100% 99% 89% 59% 22% 3%
31 CONSTANTINE Leonidas 100% 96% 78% 44% 14% 2%
32 TIAN Alex 100% 99% 92% 64% 27% 6% -
33 HO Alexander 100% 63% 21% 4% - -
34 ROBLES Rafael 100% 99% 90% 64% 30% 8% 1%
35 ABADIR james 100% 72% 30% 6% 1% - -
36 KOWALIK III Edward 100% 82% 44% 14% 2% -
37 CHOI Dylan 100% 93% 67% 31% 8% 1% -
38 XU Jayden 100% 62% 21% 4% - - -
38 SKOLNIK Leo 100% 69% 25% 5% - - -
40 LI-CHUA Theodore 100% 63% 22% 4% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.