Colorado Cup #1

Senior Mixed Épée

Sunday, September 21, 2025 at 3:00 PM

Fencing Academy of Denver - Littleton, CO, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 TAFOYA Devin D. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 92%
2 MUENKE Magnus 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 20% 2%
3 CELECKI Barrett 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 45%
3 SCHWITZER Eliot 100% 94% 68% 30% 7% 1%
5 DANIS Blake M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 57%
6 BURKS Madison 100% 100% 95% 75% 41% 11% 1%
7 MARENCIK Miles 100% 95% 73% 37% 10% 1%
8 AL SHIDHANI Abdul Hakeem 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 41% 10%
9 COLE Matthew 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 48% 2%
10 MAGNUSON Thomas 100% 97% 83% 52% 21% 4% -
11 EMERSON Zachary 100% 95% 75% 41% 14% 2% -
12 MUENKE Torben 100% 98% 84% 43% 8% - -
13 KENT IV David 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 28% 1%
14 ISAACSON Calev 100% 96% 75% 39% 11% 1%
15 KENT Laurel 100% 99% 91% 67% 33% 8% -
16 MARTEGANI Enea 100% 90% 54% 13% 1% - -
17 SHEN Yujun 100% 99% 87% 56% 18% 1%
18 WARD Zachary 100% 97% 78% 37% 6% - -
19 FRIEDMAN Lucas 100% 100% 96% 78% 39% 9% -
20 PARADKAR Akshay 100% 82% 33% 5% - - -
21 WEINGARTEN Solomon (Sol) 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 43%
22 HANEY Kimberly M. 100% 96% 78% 45% 16% 3% -
23 MESSENGER Niko 100% 87% 44% 9% 1% - -
24 ISAACSON Henny 100% 84% 48% 17% 3% - -
25 LONG Ethan 100% 94% 70% 35% 10% 1% -
26 YI Min 100% 93% 62% 22% 4% -
27 BOHMANN Levi 100% 65% 22% 4% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.