WWD Observational Tournament and Cookie Challenge

Y-10 Mixed Épée

Saturday, September 20, 2025 at 12:15 PM

Kaizen Academy Riverside - Redmond, WA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 SONG Ethan 100% 98% 84% 51% 16% 1%
2 KARPEYCHIK Mark 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 22%
3 INAMTI Anaya 100% 59% 18% 3% - -
3 CHEN Sammy 100% 100% 97% 72% 25% 1%
5 SRIVASTAVA Aditya 100% 79% 33% 5% < 1%
6 ESPARZA-CHEN Lucien 100% 99% 93% 68% 30% 6%
7 WANG Ethan 100% 100% 98% 77% 7%
8 HOPKINS Samuel 100% 100% 99% 89% 53%
9 LIN James 100% 63% 17% 2% -
12 CHEN Jimmy 100% 96% 64% 18% 2%
13 TERPSMA Penelope 100% 99% 72% 28% 5% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.