Leon Auriol Open

Div I-A Men's Saber

Saturday, September 27, 2025 at 10:00 AM

Salle Auriol Seattle - Seattle, WA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LUHAN Zachary - - - - 1% 17% 81%
2 RIGGINS Littleton K. 1% 9% 30% 40% 19% 2%
3 DESSAUER Tobyn M. - - 2% 18% 56% 25%
3 MA Yanjie - - 3% 13% 32% 37% 15%
5 ST.CLAIRE-KING Tenzin - 2% 12% 31% 38% 17%
6 PARKEY Jack O. - - - 8% 40% 52%
7 AUTREY Adrien - 5% 31% 48% 15% 1%
8 SULLIVAN Gerard 10% 30% 34% 19% 5% 1% -
9 LIAO Yifong 1% 10% 31% 37% 19% 3%
10 VALENTINE Rhys 3% 17% 32% 30% 14% 3% -
11 DOLEV Ido - 1% 10% 30% 40% 20%
12 KULKARNI Shreyas 6% 23% 34% 26% 10% 2% -
13 ZHANG Lucas 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1%
14 ENGLE Aidric - 1% 10% 30% 38% 19% 1%
15 SMITH Etienne 11% 36% 36% 15% 3% - -
16 LOPER Alex - 3% 14% 33% 35% 14%
17 CHEN Jack - - 2% 17% 48% 33%
18 MOULTON Andrew 5% 22% 36% 27% 9% 1%
19 GOGNA Rehan 8% 35% 41% 14% 2% -
20 VACCA Giovanni 4% 27% 39% 24% 6% 1%
21 HOLMES Xavier 4% 19% 33% 29% 12% 2% -
22 LOWE Devon 1% 9% 25% 34% 24% 7% 1%
23 CALL Henderson - 4% 17% 36% 32% 11% -
24 PENG Gregory 3% 17% 36% 31% 11% 2% -
25 NEARMAN Christopher - 8% 28% 37% 21% 4%
26 MCCLURE Logan 21% 42% 28% 7% 1% -
27 RASHELL Simon - 3% 16% 35% 33% 12% 1%
28 NELSON Henry 42% 46% 11% 1% - -
29 MOODY Paul J. - 3% 16% 36% 34% 11%
30 BECK Mica 9% 29% 36% 21% 6% 1%
31 CRETEN joachim - < 1% 1% 7% 25% 42% 24%
32 KIL Mitchell 68% 27% 4% - - -
33 REITER Michael L. 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1%
34 LARA Alfred - 2% 15% 40% 36% 7%
35 MITCHELL-LU Hiro 31% 51% 16% 2% - -
36 LEE River L 2% 17% 48% 30% 4% -
37 JOHNSON Jack 36% 42% 18% 3% - - -
38 MOREHOUSE Brandon 7% 27% 37% 23% 6% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.